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MrWiseGuy
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re: FSBDL 2020 - Spring Training
Today was supposed to be Opening Day


MrWiseGuy
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Member since Dec 2009
25149 posts
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re: FSBDL 2020 - Spring Training
50. Grayson Rodriguez, SP, Baltimore Orioles: Rodriguez had quite the 2019 season in full-season ball, striking out 129 batters in 94 innings. He’s got a big starter’s frame that says he can shoulder big innings. My only hesitation is a funky delivery that doesn’t look quite right. If he’s able to consistently command pitches, he has the build and potential of a top-end starter. Projection: 3.45 ERA, 9.5

49. Trevor Larnach, OF, Minnesota Twins: Larnach is a plus hitter with strong on-base skills. He’s really only shown one year to be a plus power bat (his junior year in college) so there’s still a question if he ever gets to his plus raw power. Larnach sort of hunches over the plate, which gets me nervous about the power upside. Projection: 380/460, 25/0

48. Jeter Downs, 2B/SS, Boston Red Sox: Downs showed power and speed en route to reaching double-A. Now with the Red Sox, Downs gets away from a cluster of infield prospects in the Dodgers organization. This is a prospect on the rise, and while he doesn’t profile as someone with enormous upside, he has stability written all over him. Projection: 360/460, 15/15

47. Nolan Gorman, 3B, St. Louis Cardinals. Gorman possesses massive raw power. Gorman played his age-19 season in the Florida State League, which obviously hampered his ability to showcase his full talent. I think once he gets to Springfield (AA), he will demonstrate his big power potential. Projection: 340/480, 30/5.

46. Logan Gilbert, SP, Seattle Mariners: Gilbert was dominant a year ago with a strong 3-pitch mix and strong command. He was dinged a little in the 2019 MLB Draft after battling mono for a stint in college, but rebounded well in his first year in pro ball. I don’t know if Gilbert will ever headline a pitching staff, but I feel very good about him consistently being a top 50 SP. Projection: 3.45, 9.5

45. Oneil Cruz, SS, Pittsburgh Pirates: Yes, I project Cruz to remain at the 6. The 6’7 Cruz will benefit from shift-aided baseball defensively. Now if he can just tap into his huge raw power, he could be a standout fantasy player. But that’s a big if. Long levers probably will produce big strikeout numbers for Cruz but there is hope he can make the adjustments necessary. Projection: 340/460, 25/5

44. Vidal Brujan, 2B/SS, Tampa Bay Rays: One of the premier speed threats in the minors, Brujan has swiped over 100 bases combined the past two seasons. There is very little power here at present, failing to slug 400 at two separate spots in 2019. I’m always hesitant on pure speed guys which is why Brujan is lower on my list than most fantasy rankings. Projection: 360/440, 5/40

43. Corbin Carroll, OF, Arizona Diamondbacks: Carroll is not very big but he opened eyes after producing some of the highest exit velocity from his 2019 draft class. A plus runner, if everything progresses well with Carroll he should be a catalyst at the top of a order that won’t kill you in the power department. Projection: 380/440, 10/30


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MrWiseGuy
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re: FSBDL 2020 - Spring Training
42. Riley Greene, OF, Detroit Tigers: Greene is a strong hitter that should be able to get to power due to his hit tool and projectable frame. He won’t be a threat on the basepaths, but I feel confident enough in the bat to garner top 50 consideration. The 2019 draftee made it all the way to full-season ball, which is extremely impressive given the timing of the draft. Projection: 360/480, 25/5

41. Joey Bart, C, San Francisco Giants: Bart appears ready for the big leagues after a strong spring where he slugged 875. The strong spring came on the heels of a tremendous 10-game sample in the Arizona Fall League that saw the former Georgia Tech star blast four homers en route to a near 1300 OPS. I have little doubt that Bart should provide enough thump and be solid in the OBP ratio to be a solid backstop for years to come. Projection: 360/460, 20/5

40. Mitch Keller, RHP, Pittsburgh Pirates: Armed with a big fastball and a plus slider, Keller has the ability out punch out hitters with the best of them. The Pirates righty is more probably a mid rotation arm, and he struggled in his call-up a year ago, but we believe his K/9 potential justifies a top 40 overall ranking. Projection: 3.75, 10.5

39. Sixto Sanchez, SP, Miami Marlins: The end of the Marlins run of prospects, Sixto has big stuff that has yet to produce big strikeout results. A fastball that regularly sits above 95, Sixto failed to strikeout a batter per 9 a year ago. He did, however, produce a terrific mid 2’s ERA. His profile reminds me of the late Yordano Ventura a bit. Projection: 3.45, 9.5

38. Forrest Whitley, SP, 2017 World Champion Houston Astros: A year ago, I had the big righty ranked inside the top 5. After a season of shoulder injuries and wild inconsistencies, this is how far I’ve had to move 6’7 Texan down my list. To be clear, if everything clicks with Whitley, he has the best repertoire in the minors. But reports of the breaking pitch taking a step back and a 2019 that saw him issue 53 walks in less than 85 innings, and we think a Dellin Betances like career is certainly a potential outcome. Projection: 3.75, 11.5

37. Nolan Jones, 3B, Cleveland Indians: Patience, patience, patience. That’s the name of the game for Nolan Jones. The Tribe’s third base prospect obviously knows the strike zone, the key for him will be understanding when to be aggressive in counts and use his big frame, 6’3 200, to hunt fastballs and do damage. I think we’re looking at a Carlos Santana type hitter at 3B. Projection: 360/460, 25/5

36. JJ Bleday, OF, Miami Marlins: Big fan of Bleday and what he can do. The swing has a lot of action to it, but I just can’t ignore how much he hit in the SEC (26 homers, 1.181 OPS). Now, the former Vandy star did struggle statistically in the FSL after being drafted a year ago, but we’ll chalk that up that league eating up power-hitting lefties. His time in double-A will tell us a lot more about Bleday’s future. Projection: 360/460, 25/5

35. Edward Cabrera, SP, Miami Marlins: Probably not the first Marlins SP most expected to be on this list, but I love Cabrera and the upside he presents. The 6’4 righty dominated the pitcher-friendly Florida State League before a promotion to AA where he tallied a 2.56 ERA in 38.2 innings. Cabrera has a big fastball that sits about 95 to go along with a plus slider and an above average change up. Another dominant year could have Cabrera mentioned among the minors' elite arms. Projection: 3.45 ERA, 10.5



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MrWiseGuy
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re: FSBDL 2020 - Spring Training
34. Jazz Chisholm, SS, Miami Marlins: Chisholm’s slash line struggled a bit before a trade to the Marlins organization last year. However, he did manage to put up strong counting stats. Then the Bahamas product improved his slash line with the Marlins giving great excitement of what could potentially happen if he puts everything together. I've read some scouts compare him to a Trevor Story type impact bat (just not at Coors). Projection: 360/460 20/15

33. Drew Waters, OF, Atlanta Braves: If this were a batting average league, Waters would be near the top 10. But the switch hitter so far hasn’t demonstrated great plate discipline holding him back somewhat. Still, Waters has hit his way to AAA at a young age and could prove to be a strong fantasy star if everything clicks. Projection: 360/480, 20/20

32. Ian Anderson, SP, Atlanta Braves: Anderson flat out made AA hitters look silly in 2019, striking out 147 batters in 111 IP to go along with a 2.68 ERA. Anderson struggled with a promotion to AAA, dinging him somewhat on prospect lists, but we believe the arsenal is there for him to become a high-end SP that piles up the strikeouts. Projection: 3.45 ERA, 10.5

31. Jordan Groshans, 3B, Toronto Blue Jays: If Groshans had put in a full season’s worth of at-bats, he could be even higher on this list. The Blue Jays young 3B totaled less than 100 plate appearances but posted an OBP north of 400 with 8 extra-base hits. At 6’3, Groshans should develop more power as he continues to develop, and if he keeps his excellent approach, we could be looking at an early fantasy pick in the mold of a Justin Turner type. Projection: 380/480, 25/5

30. Brendan McKay, SP, Tampa Bay Rays: I feel McKay will fall into the category of your typical mid-rotation starter once he commits to pitching full-time. McKay had a 5+ ERA in his brief stint in the Majors but he did boast a K/9 above 9, which is certainly encouraging. Nothing is overpowering about McKay’s game, but he does have strong “pitchability.” Projection: 3.45, 9.5

29. Noelvi Marte, SS, Seattle Mariners: This may seem aggressive ranking for the Mariners youngster but I’m a believer in the tools Marte can bring to the table. A true all-around shortstop that boasts a skill set similar to that of Witt Jr (maybe a tick less of power), Marte could shoot up prospect rankings with a strong showing stateside in 2020. Projection: 360/480, 20/20

28. AJ Puk, SP, Oakland Athletics: The stat line hasn’t always been there for the former University of Florida star, but Puk possesses two dynamite pitches that is just too hard to ignore. The 6’7 lefty has a fastball that hovers above 95 to pair with his 90 mph slider, such premium stuff that makes you wonder why he has a career 3.98 minor league ERA. Still, we’re betting on him to figure it out as a starter, and if not, he could prove to be another Andrew Miller out the pen. Projection: 3.45, 11.5


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MrWiseGuy
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re: FSBDL 2020 - Spring Training
27. Dustin May, SP, LA Dodgers: Gingergaard. May possesses elite velocity to go along with elite spin rate. The strikeouts aren’t quite what you want from an elite hurler, or expect given May's elite stuff, but I think the big red head will steadily improve that rate in the Dodgers’ organization. May will likely start in the minors, but I imagine will see his glowing flow in the show plenty in 2020. Projection: 3.15, 9.5

26. Casey Mize, SP, Detroit Tigers: One of the most highly touted college pitchers drafted in recent memory, Mize has the chance to be really special. Two factors, however, are somewhat working against him: clean health and a strong K/9. Mize dominated minor league hitters at the onset of 2019 before a disappointing 6.61 ERA over his final 30+ frames after coming back from injury. In 2020, Mize needs to prove he is the pitcher from the first half of 2019 that saw him dominating hitters. Projection: 3.15, 9.5

25. Royce Lewis, SS, Minnesota Twins: A disappointing 2019 has Lewis dropping in my ranks from borderline top 5 to just inside the top 25. The former top overall draft choice rescued what was otherwise a dreadful 2019 (665 OPS) with a strong showing in the AFL (975 OPS). I think Lewis remains on the dirt, but I’m not 100% positive. A massive leg kick also has me concerned as he needs to ensure he has his timing down to fully reach his potential. Projection: 360/460, 15/25

24. Luis Patino, SP, San Diego Padres: We’ve been on Patino for a while now, eyeing him back when he was a 18 year old with the Tin Caps. Patino was flat out electric at last year’s Futures Game and perhaps would be even higher on this list if he wasn’t hovering around 6 feet. But with a power arsenal, Patino has a chance to be a strong MLB pitcher for years to come. Projection: 3.15, 10.5

23. Kristian Robinson, OF, Arizona Diamondbacks: A premier looking athlete, Robinson is often compared physically to that of a 5-star WR recruit. The Bahamian prospect showcased his all-around potential in the low minors a year ago slugging 14 homers and swiping 17 bags in just 69 games. Two question marks surround Robinson: will he make enough contact and will he elevate the ball more. If he shows promise in those two areas, this is a top 10 overall prospect in 2021. Projection: 360/500, 30/20

22. Bobby Witt Jr, SS, Kansas City Royals: To me, there wasn’t a player more difficult to rank. It wouldn’t surprise me if he’s in the top 5 on these lists a year from now, or if he’s a borderline top 50 guy. So we split the middle, sort of, and have him at 23. Plus speed, plus raw power. Now the question is does he hit enough to maximize his skill set? Always a fan of young players that grew up around the game of baseball, so I wouldn’t bet against BWJ. Projection: 360/480, 20/20

21. Alex Kirilloff, OF/1B, Minnesota Twins: One of the top power hitters in the minors, Kirilloff battled injuries throughout his 2019 campaign. The numbers weren't eye popping but I still think there is hit plus power in this left-handed bat. Projection: 380/500 30/5

20. Spencer Howard, SP, Philadelphia Phillies: Injuries have been the only thing to slow Howard’s ascension to big leagues. Howard was a reliever in college but his elite fastball (touching 99) and plus breaking pitch have him on the doorsteps of being in a big a league rotation perhaps as soon as baseball resumes. Howard showcased his full potential in the AFL with a 2.11 ERA and 27 Ks in 21.1 IP. Projection: 3.15, 10.5

19. Michael Kopech, SP, Chicago White Sox: Perhaps the highest ceiling of any SP outside of Gore, Kopech’s 100 MPH fastball and wipeout slider give him the chance to one day lead the Majors in total strikeouts. He’s battling back from Tommy John, but Kopech looked back to form in his lone spring training inning a month ago. Projection: 3.15, 11.5


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MrWiseGuy
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re: FSBDL 2020 - Spring Training
18. C.J. Abrams, OF, San Diego Padres: When I look at the potential of Abrams, I see JaCoby Ellsbury/Carl Crawford. Abrams took the prospect world by storm after being drafted 6th overall by the Padres. The youthful Friar combines a plus hit tool with elite 80-grade speed that could one day see him atop the MLB leaderboard in steals. Abrams has a slight frame at present but most scouts believe there is power to come. Projection: 380/460, 15/40.

17. Carter Kieboom, 3B, Washington Nationals: Kieboom struggled in his first taste of the big leagues a season ago, but there remains lofty expectations for the former first rounder. We think Kieboom possesses strong bat to ball skills and good power to one day be considered among the elite at his position. Projection: 380/480, 25/5

16. Matt Manning, SP, Detroit Tigers: Manning continues to progress year after year, highlighted by one of the best pitching seasons in the minors a year ago. Manning is tall, 6’6, but the delivery passes my eye test for him to be a potential front-line starter. Projection: 3.15, 10.5

15. Nate Pearson, SP, Toronto Blue Jays: A dominant spring training has helped change my mind on Pearson. I didn’t truly appreciate how overwhelming his stuff can be, but 11 Ks in 7 ST innings has me singing a different tune. There is still some reliever risk here, but the delivery is fluid, and barring injury I think he reaches his potential as an elite starter. Projection: 3.15, 10.5

14. Alec Bohm, 3B, Philadelphia Phillies: I’m a big fan of Bohm’s ability to get on base, now the hope is for his massive 6’5 frame continues to add strength so he can be a premier power bat at the hot corner. If he doesn’t push past 25 homers annually, then this ranking is will prove too lofty. Projection: 380/500, 30/5

13. Brendan Rodgers, 2B, Colorado Rockies: Rodgers destroyed AAA before a promotion to the Majors in 2019 where the former top pick struggled. Rodgers posted an OPS north of 1.000 with AAA Albuquerque before sputtering 522 OPS in the show. Despite the struggles, I still think he will hit enough to potentially be an impact with the bat. I don’t think Rodgers will ever be a big walker, but playing in Coors will boost his counting stats so much that he must remain a top 15 overall prospect. Projection: 360/500, 25/5

12. Adley Rutschman, C, Baltimore Orioles: You won’t find me investing in catchers too often, but the top pick in the 2019 MLB Draft is the rare exception. A plus hitter from both sides of the plate to go along with above average power, Rutschman landed in a perfect spot in the AL and a hitter’s park to maximize his offensive talent. I have very little doubt that Rutschman will be an impact bat and a top player at his position in little time. Projection: 380/480, 25/5

11. Jesus Luzardo, SP, Oakland Athletics: The only box Luzardo doesn’t check is pitching deep into games. I believe he has never pitched into the 6th inning in an yof his professional starts. But if you saw Luzardo down the stretch last year, that’s the last thing on your mind. The lefty possesses a fastball that can reach 98 and can finish hitters off with a wipeout slider. Please stay health. Projection: 2.85 11.5 K/9

10 B. Jasson Dominguez, OF, NY Yankees: The prize jewel of the 2019 international signees, Dominguez looks physically like a shorter Yoan Moncada. Although he’s not quite as tall as the White Sox young star, Dominguez possesses similar tools and perhaps could prove just as dynamic. The scouting industry is drooling over this potential five-tool standout. Projection: 380/480, 20/20
This post was edited on 3/26 at 10:08 am


MrWiseGuy
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re: FSBDL 2020 - Spring Training
10. Marco Luciano, 3B, San Francisco Giants: I’ll probably get criticized by many for having Luciano in the top 10, but I only find 9 MiLB players I would trade straight up for the Giants budding star. Luciano won’t stick up the middle, IMO, but a shift to 3B won’t affect Luciano’s potential stardom. A wiry athlete at present, he should fill out his 6’2 frame nicely as he matures to become a run-producing threat in the middle of a order. Projection: 380/520, 35/5.

9. Dylan Carlson, OF, St. Louis Cardinals: Carlson bursted up prospect ranks and now cracks my top 10 for two reasons: proximity and high floor. That’s not to say the switch-hitter doesn’t have untapped potential as this offseason he continues to tweak swings from both sides of the plate to create more lift. We like Carlson plenty and could prove to be what everyone hoped Andrew Benintendi turned into statistically wise. Projection: 380/500 25/20.

8. Gavin Lux, 2B, LA Dodgers: Some might say this is way too low for the Dodgers’ top prospect, but I still have reservations of Lux’s ability to hit same handed pitching. Lux performed excellent against minor league lefties in 2019, which is encouraging, but then in SSS against MLB arms (12 ABs) Lux hit just .083. And playing in the Dodgers’ organization, if he should struggle, he could be on the strong side of the platoon. Projection: 380/500 25/15.

7. Andrew Vaughn, 1B, White Sox: One of the premier hitters in college baseball recent memory, Vaughn will at worst be an above average fantasy 1B with the chance to be one of the top 3 for a decade at the position. Speed will never be a part of Vaughn’s game, but the bat is plenty strong enough to be considered among the top 10 fantasy prospects in baseball. Projection: 400/500 35/0

6. Julio Rodriguez, OF, Seattle: Another premier power bat but without quite the track record or speed of Adell. Nevertheless, JRod has shown to be advanced beyond his current 19-year-old status, highlighted by his .762 OPS in the Arizona Fall League despite being more than 4 years younger than the average regular. Projection: 380/520 40/5



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MrWiseGuy
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re: FSBDL 2020 - Spring Training
5. Jarred Kelenic, OF, Seattle: Kelenic rose all the way to AA last year in his first full season in the minors. He possesses a sweet lefty swing that produces power (23 homers in 2019) and also has the speed to be a problem for defenses on the basepaths. I think Kelenic is more safe than some of the hitters behind him on this list. Projection: 380/500, 25/25

4. Luis Robert, OF, White Sox: The premier power/speed combination in the minors from 2019, Robert skyrocketed up prospect rankings from a season ago after blasting 32 homers and swiping 36 bags across three levels, including a .974 OPS in 47 games in AAA. There is some hit tool concern here, but if Robert is able to make consistent contact, he could return redraft 1st rounder value for years to come. Projection: 380/520, 30/25

3. McKenzie Gore, SP, San Diego: Take a good look because the chances are few and far between that I will ever have a pitching prospect ranked this high again. The top pitching prospect in the Minors, Gore looks like the most likely candidate to take the mantle as the premier big league arm for a healthy stretch. Gore has been flat out dominant in his minor league career, striking out 12 batters per 9 to go along with a mid 2 ERA. There is nothing about Gore's profile that scares me. So long as he remains healthy, he will be among the top arms in the game. I think Gore reaches the big leagues at some point this season, which helps push him up over some of the other bats on this list. Projection: 2.85 11.5/9.

2. Jo Adell, OF, Angels: A premium power hitter that can also chip in with a few steals, Adell is destined for stardom, IMO. The player everyone wanted Justin Upton to be. Adell absolutely demolished AA as a 20 year old before struggling a bit at AAA. I think he easily clears that hurdle in no time and reaches the big leagues. I see Adell as a high probability cornerstone for OMT for the next decade. Projection: 380/520, 35/10

1. Wander Franco, 2B/SS, Tampa Bay: Prodigy hitter in the mold of Juan Soto only in the middle infield. You still want to see Franco lift the ball a little more, but I think the Rays organization will help him get him there. There’s a small chance Franco gets moved to 2B, but it won’t matter as he would obviously profile as a plus bat at the keystone. The clear choice for the No. 1 spot. Fangraphs' Longenhagen recently placed an 80 FV on Franco. Hoo boy. Projection: 400/520, 35/15



MrWiseGuy
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re: FSBDL 2020 - Spring Training
Hoping this list can create some dialogue for this league and distract us a bit from what’s going on.

Any and all critiquing is welcomed. Stay safe baws and enjoy


Honkus
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re: FSBDL 2020 - Spring Training
Thought this was just some copy pasta from a pay site but if not, then well done


Not enough tape on Jasson or is he just too far away?


MrWiseGuy
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re: FSBDL 2020 - Spring Training
Damn it

I looked over this list twice trying to make sure I didn’t miss anyone.

I would have Dominguez behind Luciano.


rondo
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re: FSBDL 2020 - Spring Training
So many rondo prospects!


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RollDatRoll
Atlanta Braves Fan
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re: FSBDL 2020 - Spring Training
Damn! You did this???

Well done. Bravo!


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cwill
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re: FSBDL 2020 - Spring Training


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RollDatRoll
Atlanta Braves Fan
Who Dat. Roll Tide.
Member since Dec 2010
12115 posts

re: FSBDL 2020 - Spring Training
Can you please show us where Christian Pache touched you?


MrWiseGuy
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re: FSBDL 2020 - Spring Training


I just don’t know if he hits enough. That’s what it comes down to. Then he wasn’t very effective stealing bases last year. He’s got some pop tho.

What you think of him? How far off am I?


Chatagnier
Atlanta Braves Fan
Member since Sep 2008
6698 posts

re: FSBDL 2020 - Spring Training
Damn has Trammell fell that far? Most top 100 I've been seeing have included him. I hope he hasn't fell into Anthony Alford territory.


RollDatRoll
Atlanta Braves Fan
Who Dat. Roll Tide.
Member since Dec 2010
12115 posts

re: FSBDL 2020 - Spring Training
quote:

I just don’t know if he hits enough. That’s what it comes down to. Then he wasn’t very effective stealing bases last year. He’s got some pop tho.

What you think of him? How far off am I?


It's just surprising because I see people doubting Waters a bunch, but not Pache. I think the Andrew Jones comp is pretty good if the power continues to develop.


MrWiseGuy
USA Fan
Member since Dec 2009
25149 posts
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re: FSBDL 2020 - Spring Training
quote:

Damn has Trammell fell that far? Most top 100 I've been seeing have included him. I hope he hasn't fell into Anthony Alford territory.


On my “others receiving votes”

The struggle was real in 2019. Sub 700 OPS at two separate AA stops.

What’s your thoughts on Trammell?


MrWiseGuy
USA Fan
Member since Dec 2009
25149 posts
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re: FSBDL 2020 - Spring Training
quote:

It's just surprising because I see people doubting Waters a bunch, but not Pache. I think the Andrew Jones comp is pretty good if the power continues to develop.



Yeh the approach is definitely questionable for Waters. He just doesn’t walk at all. I think keith law had him outside his top 100.


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