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That's a Rap - Nate Silver

Posted on 11/9/16 at 3:25 am
Posted by Homesick Tiger
Greenbrier, AR
Member since Nov 2006
56015 posts
Posted on 11/9/16 at 3:25 am
quote:

Nate Silver 2:52 AM

That’s A Wrap
Donald Trump has been elected president of the United States.

In an extremely narrow sense, I’m not that surprised by the outcome, since polling — to a greater extent than the conventional wisdom acknowledged — had shown a fairly competitive race with critical weaknesses for Clinton in the Electoral College. It’s possible, perhaps even likely, that Clinton will eventually win the popular vote as more votes come in from California.

But in a broader sense? It’s the most shocking political development of my lifetime.

We’re going to get some sleep, and then we’ll have much more to say over the next days and weeks about how Trump won and what it means for the country. We hope you’ll continue to join us on a regular basis.


That's it folks. The whole article.?
Posted by genro
Member since Nov 2011
61817 posts
Posted on 11/9/16 at 3:26 am to
So many called him a prophet

Because he was right 2 whole times
Posted by TigahJay
New Orleans
Member since Sep 2015
10861 posts
Posted on 11/9/16 at 3:28 am to
Honestly you have to give him some credit. He said Trump had a realistic chance in the general election for the last couple weeks and took heat from others on the left over it. His model depends on the polls and the polls were off in many states.
Posted by TheRoarRestoredInBR
Member since Dec 2004
30896 posts
Posted on 11/9/16 at 3:33 am to
His visit to Colbert, his demeanor, facial expressions, and words, all told of a guy with a bias that would undermine his science..

Nate created math and model to suit his bias..even if he can't see the truth.
Posted by Homesick Tiger
Greenbrier, AR
Member since Nov 2006
56015 posts
Posted on 11/9/16 at 3:35 am to
quote:

His model depends on the polls and the polls were off in many states.


Didn't he kind of blow it in '14 in the midterms also?

I'd say he needs to find a new line of business.
Posted by DelU249
Austria
Member since Dec 2010
77625 posts
Posted on 11/9/16 at 3:36 am to
He picked 5 states in 2012

My map was better than his and I other than NC I didn't use numbers


What a fraud
Posted by HailFreezusOver
Oxford
Member since Sep 2014
6262 posts
Posted on 11/9/16 at 3:54 am to
Epic levels of failure there
His company is owned by ESPN > Disney
He had a horse in this race.
Over sampling of dmocrats in polls and no one cared to read the fine print
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