re: We don't know how many people died FROM Covid, therefore can't know Vax effectiveness

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I thought you could easily use excess deaths over a 5-year average to work the actual death count.

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The US has an an excess of 721,000 deaths since the pandemic started compared with the expected average. Some of which you could argue is non-pandemic-related or lockdown-related but it is far from the majority.

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Excess deaths as a standalone measurement is useless when the age/size of population isn't fixed. When you have more people in the 70+ age range, more people are going to die.

It's been a few months since I looked it up, but I doubt that it has changed significantly -- the average age of death with covid was almost exactly the average age of death in general. Meaning, proportionately, about the same number of people were dying because of being sick as normally do.