quote:
July positive tests are 38,853 in LA through reporting of 7/26.

Reported July deaths are 176.

That’s .45%. Deaths are less than half a percentage point of the positive tests.

It has never been lower.

I don't think it's going to hit the 2%-ish CFR numbers from before, but since most of those positives are from the last 2-3 weeks, and it takes a few weeks to die, then some more time for it to be logged properly, we're not going to know the July CFR until the end of August.

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Posted by Bullfrog

Institutionalized but Unevaluated

Member since Jul 2010

57096 posts

Posted on 7/26/21 at 1:34 pm to BRIllini07

quote:
and it takes a few weeks to die, then some more time for it to be logged properly, we're not going to know the July CFR until the end of August.

This is certainly true but it is comparing against previously reported state numbers that accumulated in the same way.

So it’s an ok comparison in a world of messy Covid data that could be sliced and diced until nothing makes sense.

Like GAAP Accounting vs. Cash Accounting.

Each gives varying results but is fine if you know what it’s limitations are.

This post was edited on 7/26/21 at 1:36 pm

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Posted by lsupride87

Member since Dec 2007

99667 posts

Posted on 7/26/21 at 2:22 pm to BRIllini07

quote:
I don't think it's going to hit the 2%-ish CFR numbers from before, but since most of those positives are from the last 2-3 weeks, and it takes a few weeks to die, then some more time for it to be logged properly, we're not going to know the July CFR until the end of August.

That dog dont hunt

You can match up the days of the previous surges, and the deaths trended up the exact same day as the hospitalizations started trending up

We are two weeks into this surge and their is no upward trend in deaths