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re: Poli Talk Solutions: The Israeli-Palestinian Conflict
Posted on 5/16/21 at 6:52 pm to The Detroit Lions
Posted on 5/16/21 at 6:52 pm to The Detroit Lions
I think there are two possible outcomes.
Israel is on track to annex all of the Palestinian territories.
As they absorb more and more land, they will lock the Palestinians into little islands, Bantustans. Where they'll will be kept caged with limited rights. The Palestinians represent a security threat, but more importantly they outnumber the Israelis. If Israel is going to remain a Jewish State, they can't be allowed to be part of it. So if Israel expands, then the Palestinians need to be locked up.
This is the South African solution. Longterm, I don't know how stable it will be.
It's also possible that Israel and Hezbollah will fight a war to end all wars. Israel would level Lebanon, but Hezbollah's rocket force would also wreck Israels civilian economy, and impose severe costs on the civilian population. I expect the Syrians would also be involved. Israel might survive, but they would be severely diminished. You'd see a massive outflow of people to the US, Europe, and Russia.
Israel is on track to annex all of the Palestinian territories.
As they absorb more and more land, they will lock the Palestinians into little islands, Bantustans. Where they'll will be kept caged with limited rights. The Palestinians represent a security threat, but more importantly they outnumber the Israelis. If Israel is going to remain a Jewish State, they can't be allowed to be part of it. So if Israel expands, then the Palestinians need to be locked up.
This is the South African solution. Longterm, I don't know how stable it will be.
It's also possible that Israel and Hezbollah will fight a war to end all wars. Israel would level Lebanon, but Hezbollah's rocket force would also wreck Israels civilian economy, and impose severe costs on the civilian population. I expect the Syrians would also be involved. Israel might survive, but they would be severely diminished. You'd see a massive outflow of people to the US, Europe, and Russia.
This post was edited on 5/16/21 at 9:19 pm
1
Posted on 5/16/21 at 7:11 pm to Lima Whiskey
quote:
This is the South African solution. Longterm, I don't know how stable it will be. But that's the Israeli solution to the problem.
It's also possible that Israel and Hezbollah will fight a war to end all wars. Israel would level Lebanon, but Hezbollah's rocket force would also wreck Israels civilian economy, and impose severe costs on the civilian population.
The optics of the first outcome, considering how accessible live streaming is now, are bad enough to where your second outcome becomes inevitable. Hezbollah will get involved at that point as the West Bank turns into Gaza. Israel can handle Hezbollah, but it'll come at a bigger cost and at the risk of getting Iran directly involved. If Iran directly steps in, the US will.
Are there any realistic concessions either side, or both, can make currently to prevent further flareups?
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