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Message
Georgia early voting complete - Analysis
Posted on 10/31/20 at 1:24 pm
Posted on 10/31/20 at 1:24 pm
https://georgiavotes.com/
First thing is black turnout is softer than in 2018. It's at 27.7% of the electorate, it was slightly over 29% in 2018's governor election.
Second thing to note is that early voting (mail + in person) represents 55.4% turnout thus far. Looking at the county details are extremely favorable for Trump.
All the heavily populated red counties are well above the 55.4% average.
Forsyth is at 70% turnout so far.
Paulding at 63.4%
Cherokee at 60.0%
Hall at 59.7%
These are the most heavily populated counties that go overwhelming for Trump/Republicans and they have turned out in droves, indicating very heavy enthusiasm in those counties.
The heavily populated Democrat counties are lagging behind
Dekalb at 57.7% (only slightly above average and below the red counties)
Fulton at 55.9% (right at average)
Clayton at 45.6%
Comparing the turnout rates to 2018 by county, the big reds are way up, the big blues are slightly down.
Through my admittedly biased eyes I see Georgia as an easy W.
First thing is black turnout is softer than in 2018. It's at 27.7% of the electorate, it was slightly over 29% in 2018's governor election.
Second thing to note is that early voting (mail + in person) represents 55.4% turnout thus far. Looking at the county details are extremely favorable for Trump.
All the heavily populated red counties are well above the 55.4% average.
Forsyth is at 70% turnout so far.
Paulding at 63.4%
Cherokee at 60.0%
Hall at 59.7%
These are the most heavily populated counties that go overwhelming for Trump/Republicans and they have turned out in droves, indicating very heavy enthusiasm in those counties.
The heavily populated Democrat counties are lagging behind
Dekalb at 57.7% (only slightly above average and below the red counties)
Fulton at 55.9% (right at average)
Clayton at 45.6%
Comparing the turnout rates to 2018 by county, the big reds are way up, the big blues are slightly down.
Through my admittedly biased eyes I see Georgia as an easy W.
This post was edited on 10/31/20 at 1:34 pm
8
Posted on 10/31/20 at 1:27 pm to PEEPO
quote:
Paulding at 63.4%
Myself and Mrs Reb are a part of that.
First time early voting as well.
Posted on 10/31/20 at 1:28 pm to PEEPO
I thought Sherman Klump's momma registered 800k new voters after she was "cheated" out of the gubernatorial election.
Posted on 10/31/20 at 1:30 pm to PEEPO
How many super voters left for each party?
Posted on 10/31/20 at 1:30 pm to PEEPO
The Red tsunami is coming.
Posted on 10/31/20 at 1:31 pm to PEEPO
quote:
Through my admittedly biased eyes I see Georgia as an easy W.
Same. Will be close though. But I'm not worried about Georgia or Florida. My three major concerns are North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Michigan.
Posted on 10/31/20 at 1:33 pm to PEEPO
quote:
First thing is black turnout is softer than in 2018. It's at 27.7% of the electorate, it was slightly over 29% in 2018's governor election.
And I’d bet that vote isn’t as unanimous as it was in 2018 since Grimace isn’t on the ballot and blacks are waking up.
Posted on 10/31/20 at 2:20 pm to PEEPO
I reside in Georgia's fastest growing county (Gwinnett) right now. When I first moved here Gwinnett was heavy red. However, as the libtards decide to flee the wreck they made of Atanta, they are moving into Gwinnett and doing their damnedest to frick it up like they did Fulton and Dekalb counties. Hopefully we keep Gwinnett red for another cycle, otherwise I may need to move on to White, Habersham, Cherokee, or Paulding.
Posted on 10/31/20 at 3:36 pm to PEEPO
I'm with ya OP. No blue wave here in Georgia as more Republicans voting AND voting straight ticket.
Btw, Trump owns Cherokee.
Btw, Trump owns Cherokee.
Posted on 10/31/20 at 3:39 pm to Swamp Angel
quote:
I reside in Georgia's fastest growing county (Gwinnett) right now. When I first moved here Gwinnett was heavy red. However, as the libtards decide to flee the wreck they made of Atanta, they are moving into Gwinnett and doing their damnedest to frick it up like they did Fulton and Dekalb counties. Hopefully we keep Gwinnett red for another cycle, otherwise I may need to move on to White, Habersham, Cherokee, or Paulding.
I'm in Peachtree City. Every upper class liberal Tom, Dick and Harry are moving here for a better life and still voting for the wallet crippling policies they fled. Now most everything I see is pro-Biden. I'd love it if the Atlanta rioters tore through here (as long as they dodge my neighborhood).
Posted on 10/31/20 at 3:48 pm to Swamp Angel
quote:
Hopefully we keep Gwinnett red for another cycle
You do realize Gwinnett went for HRC in 2016, right?
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