re: GOP has taken the lead in mail-in ballots cast in Michigan

Target smart uses some sort of model to come up with those numbers. They aren't pro-GOP either. They had a post about how Biden is turning out infrequent and first time voters at a much higher rate than Clinton. That's true based off raw numbers but when you look at a percentage of votes already cast infrequent and first time voters are down 4-6% compares to 2016.