re: Percentage wise, how confident are you that Trump wins the election?

quote:

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Not very - 10 million “Mail in ballots” have already been cast with a proven rate (based upon past major elections using this) of a 20-40% “error” rate and no republican winners

Hmmm

That’s upwards of a 4 million vote swing already and we are 2 weeks from the election. To put that in perspective - the entire USA election in 2016 had a 2.9 million vote difference

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I agree that the flood of mail-in ballots is bullshite but aren't most of the ballots in strongly held blue states anyway? Who cares about the popular vote. Only a small number of toss-up states have mass, unsolicited mail-in ballots, correct? I'm seriously asking, I don't know the answer. And I thought in the states that you have to request a ballot, republicans are looking good in new voter registration and the number of ballots they requested. Aren't we really only looking at PA and another state that it would effect and some of the court rulings may actually invalidate many of the democrat mail-in ballots (need secrecy envelope and due dates)?