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re: Need answers from all you Georgia baws
Posted on 10/13/20 at 11:03 pm to olemc999
Posted on 10/13/20 at 11:03 pm to olemc999
Live in GA. Not sure what you mean by a baw.
I think GA will continue to be close in the short term, but it will probably continue to elect Republicans in statewide contests. The Abrams vs. Kemp contest was closer because the Republican primary was very polarizing with a lot of mud-slinging between Casey Cagle and Brian Kemp. Cagle had a lot of establishment support and I think at least some of his supporters just did not vote for Kemp.
Georgia will be a majority minority state by 2033 ( source). So if Republicans can't attract non white voters, it will eventually become harder and harder for them to win statewide races.
I think generally speaking, Republicans in Georgia have done a good job of nominating non-extremists to statewide contests. Politicians like Sonny Purdue, Nathan Deal were not extreme right wing politicians and were well liked by independents. It is hard to tell how the Georgia Republican politics will look like in terms of "Trumpiness" in a post-Trump world, be it 2020 or 2024. A lot will depend on that.
Also remember, Trump won in 2016 by only 5 points. So it is not like Trump is super popular. This time I expect him to win GA by about 2.5-3.25% points.
I think GA will continue to be close in the short term, but it will probably continue to elect Republicans in statewide contests. The Abrams vs. Kemp contest was closer because the Republican primary was very polarizing with a lot of mud-slinging between Casey Cagle and Brian Kemp. Cagle had a lot of establishment support and I think at least some of his supporters just did not vote for Kemp.
Georgia will be a majority minority state by 2033 ( source). So if Republicans can't attract non white voters, it will eventually become harder and harder for them to win statewide races.
I think generally speaking, Republicans in Georgia have done a good job of nominating non-extremists to statewide contests. Politicians like Sonny Purdue, Nathan Deal were not extreme right wing politicians and were well liked by independents. It is hard to tell how the Georgia Republican politics will look like in terms of "Trumpiness" in a post-Trump world, be it 2020 or 2024. A lot will depend on that.
Also remember, Trump won in 2016 by only 5 points. So it is not like Trump is super popular. This time I expect him to win GA by about 2.5-3.25% points.
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