re: What teams would pass on Lawrence with 1st pick?

I’m not even convinced it’s a forgone conclusion that Lawrence goes #1. And that’s not a slight on him (although, as great as he is, I don’t think he’s a Peyton Manning can’t miss type like it’s portrayed), but Sewell from Oregon is a fricking beast. So if the Giants or Bengals or Dolphins if they are committed to Tua, I think they take Sewell at 1.

Sure, you’d love to trade the 1 and grab more picks, but unless you still somehow wind up with the #2, you’re likely not getting Sewell. And I think he’s right there with Lawrence as the best 2 players in the draft. There will be a ton of teams trying to trade up to take him too. One thing that makes them both so valuable—besides how good they are and the premium positions they play—is the steep(at least as of now) drop from them to the next best QB and LT. And the gap between them and the 3rd best prospect in the draft, whoever that winds up being.

Tl:dr—Lawrence is the best prospect in the draft. But Sewell is a close 2nd and if a team that’s got a QB they like winds up with the 1st pick, they are probably just gonna take Sewell at 1 to protect that QB unless they can somehow make a trade work where they end up with the #2.