quote:
A&M hasn’t covered in either game, UF basically has covered both(1 point off closing line v SC) and now A&M, after a blowout, while UF is 2-0 w/ LSU next. UF plays LSU then UGA. I like the Aggies here.

You point out that A&M hasn't covered in their 2 games, then UF has, then say you like A&M

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Posted by Arthur Bach

Member since Jul 2016

2215 posts

Posted on 10/7/20 at 9:16 am to boXerrumble

quote:
You point out that A&M hasn't covered in their 2 games, then UF has, then say you like A&M

When a team goes 3-0 ATS you bet against them. When 0-3 ATS, you bet with them.

Line hasn’t moved from 6.5-7. If the line goes way up Fri night I’ll change my mind. But right now it’s A&M+points.

I don’t like endorsing or promoting gambling, but Aggies is the play unless that line shoots up on Fri night. Could be minimal line change. Lot of bettors on FL, but the money with A&M. That’s my take. Could be wrong, but I would think the advantage is ~65-70% on the home dog covering.

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Posted by Arthur Bach

Member since Jul 2016

2215 posts

Posted on 10/9/20 at 10:55 pm to boXerrumble

quote:
You point out that A&M hasn't covered in their 2 games, then UF has, then say you like A&M

Yeah, it’s a contrarian betting theory. I’m not gloating or anything, but I have won 1st, 2nd in two different ATS pools with hundreds of people in it. I don’t endorse betting at all, but Vegas adjusts lines for teams going on ATS wins or losses in a row. 3 is the rule.

Also, Florida -5 now. That line has gone from 6.5 to 5. Lot of money on A&M today.

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