re: Do people REALLY not understand why you go for two after the first TD when down 15?

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Yep. Completely agree.

It makes it more exciting when you go for it 2nd, but it’s the wrong move.

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Fwiw, I've been the guy over the years that's said the math is to go for two early but that there's a psychological aspect (unmeasurable) on the opponent of guaranteeing it being a "one possession game" (though it's really 1.5 poss). But that's based on nothing, so seeing the data would help clear that for me.