If Biden was truly up 6% nationally, Georgia, Texas, and Ohio would not automatically be going red. They'd be very much in play and possibly even set to go blue.

That's my entire point. The RCP Average has Biden up 6% nationally. The RCP Average of state polls has Biden leading not only in Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Michigan, but also in former Trump states of Arizona, North Carolina, and even Ohio. The RCP Average of the polls currently projects Biden to win the Electoral College 353-185.

The RCP Average has Trump only up 1.3% in Georgia
The RCP Average has Trump only up 3.5% in Texas

Most telling is the fact that the RCP Average of polls has Biden leading Ohio by 2.4% yet Trump has not once visited Ohio to try to defend that state. Nor has Biden visited. Why would Biden not visit Ohio if he truly thought he was winning that state by 2.4%?

Also check Nevada. The RCP Average has Biden up 6% there. If that were true, why would Trump have visted Nevada 3 times so far this month? Wouldn't he be trying to defend Ohio before he wasted time in Nevada? And Kamala showed up in Nevada this month too.

You really think Biden leads Nevada by 6%? I don't.

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Posted by NawlinsTiger9

Where the mongooses roam

Member since Jan 2009

35048 posts

Posted on 9/18/20 at 2:35 pm to BHMKyle

Again, you're basically asking for the Dems to make the same mistakes they did last time in assuming certain states are in the bag when they may not be.

No way they're going all-in trying to flip GA and TX before making sure much more winnable states are represented in their campaign efforts.

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