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re: How realistic is this electoral map?

Posted on 8/27/20 at 10:40 am to
Posted by honeybadger07
The Woodlands
Member since Jul 2015
3263 posts
Posted on 8/27/20 at 10:40 am to
Besides NY, all else looks legit.

NY may surprise us....Cuomo and his nursing home genocide and De Blasio royally fricking up the future of NYC. He said this week indoor dining in the city will open again soon....2021 soon hahahaha

Imagine the gratification you could have to see NY going red and seeing the reaction of Cuomo and de Blasio.....I get chubs just thinking about it!
Posted by Alt26
Member since Mar 2010
29569 posts
Posted on 8/27/20 at 2:43 pm to
quote:

Besides NY, all else looks legit.

NY may surprise us....Cuomo and his nursing home genocide and De Blasio royally fricking up the future of NYC. He said this week indoor dining in the city will open again soon....2021 soon hahahaha

Imagine the gratification you could have to see NY going red and seeing the reaction of Cuomo and de Blasio.....I get chubs just thinking about it!


He's not winning NY or Hawaii. It MAY be slightly closer than 2016, but he's not erasing a 20 point gap in those states from 4 years ago.

New Mexico is interesting. He lost relatively big there in 2018 (8 points). But former NM Governor, Gary Johnson got 9% of the vote. With Gary not in this race, how much of that 9% flips to Trump? (I think perhaps 4%-5%). That would tighten things significantly he he can flip some HRC voters.

Also, while I don't think he'll win it, Oregon might be interesting to watch. HRC only won by 10%. While that is still a pretty large margin of victory, it was the smallest margin of the West Coast states (CA, WA, HI). Portland is as liberal and looney as it gets. But I suspect there might be more than just a few people in and around the are fed up with the shite going on there.
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