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re: Michigan report...Just got back from Michigan vacation...
Posted on 8/1/20 at 8:43 pm to GeneralLee
Posted on 8/1/20 at 8:43 pm to GeneralLee
quote:
I do generally agree with your sentiment there as the 2016 data bears it out. Many Dems sat out in WI and MI and those states were not heavily contested. PA on the other hand saw high turnout on both sides, with Trump getting several hundred thousand more votes than Romney. So I do feel the best on PA out of PA/MI/WI. I think Trump’s odds in the swing states (best chance to worst chance) are:
FL
NC
PA
WI
AZ
MN
NH
MI
NV
100% agree with you. PA didn't have anyone sit out. Trump legitamely flipped 300k voters that went for Obama in 2012.
I had a post back in 2017 pointing that out when discussing the 3 rust belt states.
Trump crushed it in PA.
For some reason though polls are suggesting he is favored in WI more than the other 2. Regardless all he needs is just 1 of them and to keep the other.
Obviously Florida being the biggest purple state.
Posted on 8/1/20 at 8:51 pm to Magician2
Part of me wants to see a 269-269 tie with Trump winning the House vote just for maximum liberal meltdown. If Trump wins PA but loses AZ, that’s a high percentage of possible outcomes. But in a 269-269 tie, I would not feel good about GOP maintaining Senate majority. Hoping and praying Trump can compete close enough in MI to put James over the top as we desperately need to flip that Senate seat as CO/AZ are just about for sure gone, NC and ME look 75% gone, and MT is a coin flip right now.
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