re: Everything they can to swing Texas

I have been following this obsessively as I live in Houston.

We saw cases begin to spike on June 16. Prior to that day, we never had more than 2,500 cases in a given day. (June 16 happens to be two weeks after the Floyd protests in our major cities). On June 16 we hit ~4,500. It's climbed steadily to almost 10K yesterday. The data is not all in yet today but we're already at 8,900 with San Antonio still to report.

We have NOT seen a rise in deaths UNTIL YESTERDAY. We have been consistently seeing 33-45 deaths a day. Yesterday for the first time we hit 85. Today we're already at 103 (again with San Antonio still to report).

Now, two important things:

1. Tuesdays and Wednesdays are always the highest. I don't know completely why but a number of counties hold their data for a few days and then dump it. Last week we went from 21 cases to 59 and 45 on Tuesday and Wednesday. This week, we had 54 total cases over the weekend and 85 yesterday and somewhere over 103 today.

2. Even if the deaths have increased a little, it is no where near the rise in cases. Again, on June 15 we had 2,138 newly reported cases. Three weeks later and we're looking at at least 9K per day for the past three days. That's 4x increase in cases. With a 2x increase in deaths per day (if the last two days are more than just an anomaly).