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re: Louisiana COVID-19 - July 1, 2020 Update: 60,178 cases - 3,130 deaths - 752,088 tested
Posted on 7/1/20 at 12:56 pm to lsupride87
Posted on 7/1/20 at 12:56 pm to lsupride87
quote:
Umm, look at the chart. Where was that “lag” and gap with the first spike?
You realize that deaths are true number while known infections are only as good as the number of tests.
There is absolutely no doubt that more infections will result in more deaths. It isn't a debatable statement.
Whether it results in an unmanageable amount is a different story.
Even with one of the most conservative IFRs of .03 you will still see more deaths with more infections.
This post was edited on 7/1/20 at 12:58 pm
1
Posted on 7/1/20 at 1:00 pm to fightin tigers
quote:You are simply assuming there are truly more infections right now. Thats impossible to compare considering we are testing 20x more than we were before
You realize that deaths are true number while known infections are only as good as the number of tests.
There is absolutely no doubt that more infections will result in more deaths. It isn't a debatable statement.
Whether it results in an unmanageable amount is a different story.
Even with one of the most conservative IFRs of .03 you will still see more deaths with more infections.
And more importantly, you are assuming all infections are the same
70 year old infections arent the same as 20 year old infections
The first wave, was majority spread in long term care facility. Now, 50% of cases caught are those under 29 years old
This post was edited on 7/1/20 at 1:01 pm
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