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re: MLB Tests Over 5,000 Employees for Coronavirus Antibodies for Study, 0.7% Tested Positive

Posted on 5/10/20 at 8:02 pm to
Posted by Volvagia
Fort Worth
Member since Mar 2006
51918 posts
Posted on 5/10/20 at 8:02 pm to
quote:

I am so confused about how this thing is supposed to be so incredibly contagious yet not very many ppl at all relative to the population seem to have had it?



Because we are a country of nearly 350 million spread out over nearly 4 million square miles.

For the same reason why the lock down rules shouldn't be universal, you have to be careful trying to extrapolate localized studies into the entire country.
quote:


Then each time we have one of these antibody tests come out somebody tells me the tests are worthless, so who knows what to believe


Part of the problem is that antibody tests ARE the holy grail. And everyone is rushing to be the first to make the big break.

Can't speak internationally, but there was at least one study being revised because they failed on the statistical controls (the oft meationed Stanford study) and at least one study used a serological test that identified coronavirus, but not exclusively CoV-SARS2.

The fundamental problem is that epidemiology is a long, drawn out analysis that is retroactive in nature.


But in the 24/7 news cycle, its all about the hot takes.

Hell, how many people post here about singular studies, non peer reviewed preprints at that, and advertised it as fact because they liked what the title inplied.

Science is a process, not a conclusion. And people are running with whatever one guy says is truth, and then gets confused when someone else says something different later.
This post was edited on 5/10/20 at 8:40 pm
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