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re: A little statistical reality for all you corona Nazis
Posted on 4/5/20 at 8:53 pm to buckeye_vol
Posted on 4/5/20 at 8:53 pm to buckeye_vol
quote:
And that was over the course of roughly 8 months, and FOUR STRAINS, with the 2 type A strains (H3N2 and H1N1) being the most severe (particularly H3N2) and occurring earlier in the season with the 2 Type B strains (Yamagata and Victoria) peaking later in the season in the Spring.
And the 43,000,000 cases (actually 45,000,000) refers to symptomatic cases, but even using those figures, and despite being one of the most severe season on record, that’s a case fatality rate (CFR) of 0.14%.
Yes.
Why is pointing that out often met with the recited "You can't compare them!"?
Posted on 4/5/20 at 10:31 pm to Dale51
quote:It’s complete reasonable to compare them objectively and with all of the facts and contexts.
Yes.
Why is pointing that out often met with the recited "You can't compare them!"?
However, some comparison were not reasonable and were just flat out deceiving. For example, it wasn’t reasonable to compare the complete death total of the Swine Flu pandemic and the 12,000 deaths over the course of nearly 10 months, to the total death total of COVID-19 a couple weeks after the first death.
I mean we’ll likely exceed the total of 12,000 deaths that the Swine Flu has by Tuesday, which is less less than 40 days, both before this peak and any other seasonal outbreaks later in the year.
The 100,000 to 240,000 projected deaths is over the course of the next 4 months before a projected increase again during the late-fall
and winter, unless a vaccine can prevent that.
This post was edited on 4/5/20 at 10:34 pm
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