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re: Daily COVID Updated as of 11/2/20 8:00 PM
Posted on 4/9/20 at 8:24 pm to Chromdome35
Posted on 4/9/20 at 8:24 pm to Chromdome35
This is the link to the COVID-19 Country tracker that I have shared on Google Drive. Chromdome's COVID-19 Daily Tracker
This is the link to the US state level tracker that I have shared via Google Drive. Chromdome's State Level COVID-19 Daily Tracker
On the state level tracker the states I have available right now are listed below. I will be adding additional states in the coming days.
Arkansas, Louisiana, New York, Georgia, Florida, California
The source for the data is https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
The source for the testing data is from https://covidtracking.com/data/
On the tracker sheet you will see tabs for the following data:
1) US Summary
2) Country Comparables: This shows you how the US stacks up vs. select other countries dealing with COVID-19
3) Logarithmic Comparisons - Shows the US vs the other countries on the tracker.
4) Covid Vs Other Outbreaks - Compares the current COVID numbers to the last 10 years of flue and H1N1
5) US Weighted Averages - Explores 7 day vs 3 day weight average trends
6) Italy Summary
7) UK Summary
8) France Summary
9) Germany Summary
10) Sweden Summary
11) World Summary
NOTE: The daily growth rate data will not be accurate until the end of the day's postings. It will change throughout the day.
NOTE: I am not tracking individual states, I don't have a reliable consistent source for that data.
NOTE: I am not a mathematician, statistics guru, scientist, sharpest tack in the box, I'm just a guy who likes to understand for myself what is happening and to share it with others. This thread was not created to debate if you should or shouldn't take this seriously, it is simply to present the numbers and foster conversation.
NOTE: I have added a prediction number to the bottom of the data grid. This simply takes the previous days numbers and grows them at the previous day's growth rate. It should give the viewer some idea of what the numbers will look like today. Obviously, the final number for the day will be higher or lower based on what today's growth rate actualy is. This is just a simple indicator.
This is the link to the US state level tracker that I have shared via Google Drive. Chromdome's State Level COVID-19 Daily Tracker
On the state level tracker the states I have available right now are listed below. I will be adding additional states in the coming days.
Arkansas, Louisiana, New York, Georgia, Florida, California
The source for the data is https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
The source for the testing data is from https://covidtracking.com/data/
On the tracker sheet you will see tabs for the following data:
1) US Summary
2) Country Comparables: This shows you how the US stacks up vs. select other countries dealing with COVID-19
3) Logarithmic Comparisons - Shows the US vs the other countries on the tracker.
4) Covid Vs Other Outbreaks - Compares the current COVID numbers to the last 10 years of flue and H1N1
5) US Weighted Averages - Explores 7 day vs 3 day weight average trends
6) Italy Summary
7) UK Summary
8) France Summary
9) Germany Summary
10) Sweden Summary
11) World Summary
NOTE: The daily growth rate data will not be accurate until the end of the day's postings. It will change throughout the day.
NOTE: I am not tracking individual states, I don't have a reliable consistent source for that data.
NOTE: I am not a mathematician, statistics guru, scientist, sharpest tack in the box, I'm just a guy who likes to understand for myself what is happening and to share it with others. This thread was not created to debate if you should or shouldn't take this seriously, it is simply to present the numbers and foster conversation.
NOTE: I have added a prediction number to the bottom of the data grid. This simply takes the previous days numbers and grows them at the previous day's growth rate. It should give the viewer some idea of what the numbers will look like today. Obviously, the final number for the day will be higher or lower based on what today's growth rate actualy is. This is just a simple indicator.
1
Posted on 4/9/20 at 8:45 pm to Chromdome35
The number of new cases rose 1,600 over yesterday while the growth rate continued to decline. There were 170K new tests today which is a 35K increase from yesterday and the highest number we've seen yet to date. The 170K tests yielded 34.7K of new tests a 20.4% positive rate for the day. The cumulative positive rate is now up to 19.4%.
New Deaths fell by 40 from yesterday's number, and over the last three days appear to flatten...This is great! Let's hope this continues; however, the IHME model says the peak isn't for 2 more days at 2,212 Deaths. We should know how correct the IHME model is about 5-6 days from now, as that model shows declining daily death numbers after the 12th.
The Days to Double for Deaths will go above 6 tomorrow.
Mortality is up to 3.56% the rate continues to increase and it looks like the increase is accelerating.
I'm optimistic that we are seeing the start of the peak for deaths. If we are, then an early May relaxation could be a reality.
New Deaths fell by 40 from yesterday's number, and over the last three days appear to flatten...This is great! Let's hope this continues; however, the IHME model says the peak isn't for 2 more days at 2,212 Deaths. We should know how correct the IHME model is about 5-6 days from now, as that model shows declining daily death numbers after the 12th.
The Days to Double for Deaths will go above 6 tomorrow.
Mortality is up to 3.56% the rate continues to increase and it looks like the increase is accelerating.
I'm optimistic that we are seeing the start of the peak for deaths. If we are, then an early May relaxation could be a reality.
This post was edited on 4/9/20 at 8:51 pm
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