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re: Daily COVID Updated as of 11/2/20 8:00 PM
Posted on 4/9/20 at 2:46 pm to rds dc
Posted on 4/9/20 at 2:46 pm to rds dc
quote:
At a minimum, this appears to pull the rug out form under the UK paper that estimated that over 50% of the UK had already been infected, as of a couple of weeks ago.
I never thought that made sense with what the global growth rates in cases, hospitalizations, and deaths were. It would either have to have been caused by SARS-CoV-2 being far more infectious than thought (akin to chickenpox or measles) or far less deadly than you would reasonably expect (less deadly than the flu). When compared to results in Korea and the Princess Cruise lines, we had very little reason to believe that was the case, though more study was needed to extrapolate those numbers globally.
1
Posted on 4/9/20 at 2:51 pm to Athanatos
I am about to make an assertion that I base on nothing except my own observations watching the numbers from Italy, Spain, and NY
When you see daily deaths start to be around 10% of that days new cases, you are nearing or at the peak.
When you see daily deaths start to be around 10% of that days new cases, you are nearing or at the peak.
This post was edited on 4/9/20 at 2:52 pm
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