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re: Predict MBB NCAA Tourney Seed
Posted on 3/9/20 at 11:12 am to bcox1970
Posted on 3/9/20 at 11:12 am to bcox1970
Wow a few people are really bad at this. Anybody that thinks we would be an 8 after winning the tournament shouldn’t have posted in this thread. 3 quality wins would put us at a 7 at absolutely worst and very likely a 6. 2 wins which would put us in the finals would almost assuredly put us at a 7. Go 1-1 and we are most likely staying at an 8 but it wouldn’t be insane to see us at a 9. Lose our first game and we are a 9 unless things really break against us and we would be a 10 which most people would prefer anyway. So another question is would y’all rather win 1 and be an 8 or lose the first game and possibly be a 10?
This post was edited on 3/9/20 at 12:36 pm
Posted on 3/9/20 at 11:32 am to OGtigerfan87
quote:
Wow a few people are really bad at this. Anybody that thinks we would be an 8 after winning the tournament shouldn’t have posted in this thread. 3 quality wins would put us at a 7 at absolutely worst and very likely a 6. 2 wins which would put us in the finals would almost assuredly put us a lot a 7. Go 1-1 and we are most likely staying at an 8 but it wouldn’t be insane to see us at a 9. Lose our first game and we are a 9 unless things really break against us and we would be a 10 which most people would prefer anyway. So another question is would y’all rather win 1 and be an 8 or lose the first game and possibly be a 10?
It really would depend on who LSU played. The comittee doesn't care how far you advanced in the tournament. So look at is as an opportunity to play 1-3 more individual games to build your overall resume. For instance, if upsets happen and LSU ends up playing Vandy and Mizzou, that doesn't do ANYTHING to help their resume...even if it provides an "easier" path to the finals.
The one negative on LSU's resume is a 4-8 record in Q1 games. If LSU could bump that up to 6 Q1 wins, then that would start to close that hole in the resume. You look at teams LSU would (likely) be competing with for a 6 seed (Illinois, Iowa, Penn St., Michigan, Colorado, West Virginia, etc) and they all have at least 6 Q1 wins. So if you are looking for the best possible opponents, then a three game stretch vs. Arkansas, Auburn and Kentucky would be the most ideal resume builder.
quote:
So another question is would y’all rather win 1 and be an 8 or lose the first game and possibly be a 10?
Historically, 8 seeds are as or more likely to make the Final Four than 6,7, 9, 10 seeds. Yes, you have to play a #1 on the first weekend. But that might give you a little bit better shot to beat them since they will only have 1 day of prep/rest. And if you can slay that dragon early, you're playing no better than a #4 in the Sweet 16
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