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re: 1917 is likely your Best Picture winner for 2019
Posted on 1/26/20 at 10:08 am to RollTide1987
Posted on 1/26/20 at 10:08 am to RollTide1987
I really think Parasite is going to end up taking it.
Based on the standing ovations it keeps receiving at ceremony after ceremony, I think Hollywood is starting to get a real hard-on for their own support of a foreign language film. The voters seeing that support are going to want to “be a part” of making a Korean film the Oscar winner for best picture and are going to use that social component to marginally move the film forward. And since it is a genuinely good film, and any gap that exists is small, a marginal movement might be enough to put it over the top.
Based on the standing ovations it keeps receiving at ceremony after ceremony, I think Hollywood is starting to get a real hard-on for their own support of a foreign language film. The voters seeing that support are going to want to “be a part” of making a Korean film the Oscar winner for best picture and are going to use that social component to marginally move the film forward. And since it is a genuinely good film, and any gap that exists is small, a marginal movement might be enough to put it over the top.
2
Posted on 1/26/20 at 10:55 am to funnystuff
quote:
Based on the standing ovations it keeps receiving at ceremony after ceremony, I think Hollywood is starting to get a real hard-on for their own support of a foreign language film.
It's main stumbling block is that it has its own category. Add to the fact that this is a shortened Oscar season and 1917 has won all the major awards to this point, the support might not be as strong as you think it is. You might have been onto something had Bong Joon Ho won Best Director last night at the DGAs. But he didn't.
Posted on 1/26/20 at 4:24 pm to funnystuff
quote:
very little campaigning by the filmmakers and studio,
You had me until this moment.
quote:
The voters seeing that support are going to want to “be a part” of making a Korean film the Oscar winner for best picture and are going to use that social component to marginally move the film forward
If this were true, Parasite would have won at the DGAs or PGAs. I know the actors are the biggest voting group in the academy, and Parasite did win big at the SAGs, but parasite needed another major guild win. I wouldn't call the Editors guild big enough.
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