re: LSU needs to watch the CFP NCG from last year, or they will lose

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LSU is similar to Bama last year & Clemson will have the same defensive philosophy - bend, but don't break.

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LSU is pretty similar in a lot of ways.
But there are a few glaring differences.
1. Red Zone offense is MUUUCH better for LSU than Bama (78% to 68% on TDs - 97% to 82% overall)
So it'll be harder for them to "not break."

Also. LSU is muuuuch better at turning over passes. 17 Interceptions to 14 through 1 less game.

LSU has a lower opponent 3rd down conversion rate than bama did.

We average 40 more yards and 4 more points a game.
We've had 5 times as many games where we gained over 600 yards than we do where we were held to less than 470! You CANNOT stop this offense.

77.6 percent completion percentage to 69.
Burrow has thrown 12 more TD's than TUA did with the same amount of interceptions (with a game remaining).

I think the real kicker is this.. Bama only had 10 more offensive snaps through 15 games than we do now, with a game remaining. Our tempo is a real problem for defenses.

Although Bama's offense was prolific through 2018, LSU's is much more so. And more efficient. And although their defense may have been slightly better, ours is nearly equal while being better at forcing turnovers, and stopping drives.