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re: Another Alabama poll released this morning: Moore 53 Jones 47

Posted on 11/28/17 at 2:50 pm to
Posted by FairhopeTider
Fairhope, Alabama
Member since May 2012
20871 posts
Posted on 11/28/17 at 2:50 pm to
quote:

This is why I don't get why Republicans squeamish on Moore, don't just vote for Jones knowing they can easily beat him in 2020. It's only 2 years he holds the seat, and the chances of him being able to singularly impact the abortion issue in any way is nil. That issue seems to be the only one a lot of them mention.


Jones would be a one term Senator. His only chance to keep his seat would be to really vote with the GOP on the big items like taxes or healthcare. If he went lockstep with the Democrats, even someone like Twinkle Cavanaugh would beat him handily.

quote:

Not talking about the Moore supporters, or the party loyalists that simply don't want a D to win. Talking just about the informed R voters that don't like Moore. There's probably enough of them to turn the election.


I think a lot of R voters that you speak of are thinking that Moore will be handled in some way after he wins. Either by ejection or some sort of censure. Too many people just see it as a Red vs Blue contest and they'll find some justification to stay in their camp. They'll pull the lever for Moore or not show up. Jones needed them to crossover and I don't think Jones has done an adequate job of luring them to his side. The first round of accusations have been digested now and I don't think those voters crossover unless another round of them come out. As it is now, Moore will win and will be seated in the Senate. The line "The accusations were litigated by the Alabama voters" will be paraded around.

To your point, not many people you speak of are considering the fact that AL will effectively be down a Senator. Moore will be a leper in the Senate. Not many people will be looking for him to co-sponsor bills and given his history, he won't be fighting too hard to attract businesses or allocate resources to Alabama.

But at least the seat is still Red!!!! Take that Pelosi and McConnell!


This post was edited on 11/28/17 at 2:54 pm
Posted by The Spleen
Member since Dec 2010
38865 posts
Posted on 11/28/17 at 4:15 pm to
quote:

Jones needed them to crossover



He seems to be doing a decent job pulling parts of the Birmingham suburbs over, but I have no idea how that extrapolates out to the entire state. I did notice several Jones yard signs in rural Etowah, St Clair and Blount Counties when I was up that way hunting last weekend. More D signs than I've ever seen since hunting up that way the past 20 years.


His bigger problem seems to be the lack of enthusiasm from black voters.
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