- My Forums
- Tiger Rant
- LSU Recruiting
- SEC Rant
- Saints Talk
- Pelicans Talk
- More Sports Board
- Fantasy Sports
- Golf Board
- Soccer Board
- O-T Lounge
- Tech Board
- Home/Garden Board
- Outdoor Board
- Health/Fitness Board
- Movie/TV Board
- Book Board
- Music Board
- Political Talk
- Money Talk
- Fark Board
- Gaming Board
- Travel Board
- Food/Drink Board
- Ticket Exchange
- TD Help Board
Customize My Forums- View All Forums
- Show Left Links
- Topic Sort Options
- Trending Topics
- Recent Topics
- Active Topics
Started By
Message
re: Let's discuss the Monty Hall problem (probabilities, odds)
Posted on 8/12/17 at 2:38 am to SlapahoeTribe
Posted on 8/12/17 at 2:38 am to SlapahoeTribe
Lets change the scenario to help you understand...what if there were 100 doors instead of three? You pick a door. Then the host reveals 98 goats behind 98 of the doors you didn't select.
Then he asks you if you want to swap to the remaining unknown door... Now is it more clear that you should indeed swap?
Then he asks you if you want to swap to the remaining unknown door... Now is it more clear that you should indeed swap?
2
Posted on 8/12/17 at 2:41 am to deuceiswild
quote:
Then he asks you if you want to swap to the remaining unknown door... Now is it more clear that you should indeed swap?
My chances that I was lucky enough to guess correct the first time went from 33% to just 1% in yours.
Guessing 1 out of 3 is presumably doable. Guessing 1 out of 100 is a lot more rare.
This post was edited on 8/12/17 at 2:43 am
Posted on 8/12/17 at 2:44 am to deuceiswild
I just can't fathom to see it that way. I still feel I got a 50 50 shot at the prize. But then again I'm not too smart
Page 1 of 1
Popular
Back to top
Follow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News