re: USA Today: We need a Robert Mueller resignation

I really don't disagree with a bit of that criticism of her personally as a candidate or her campaign strategy.

The gist of Silver's argument is essentially that the letter amounted to a 1% swing, which because Trump's margin was less than that in the three critical states that proved decisive in his electoral college win (PA, MI, WI), the outcome would've been different in the letter's absence. The contemporaneous polling swung significantly.

I don't have the statistical background that he has, so I don't have huge confidence in that opinion but it seems to pass the eyeball test. Again, this is not to say such an event would've felled a better candidate with a better strategy. Life is complicated.