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re: For those hoping Kansas would go Democrat tonight...

Posted on 4/12/17 at 11:02 am to
Posted by udtiger
Over your left shoulder
Member since Nov 2006
99860 posts
Posted on 4/12/17 at 11:02 am to
quote:

and you are using only the repub share for maximum effect. the democratic candidate got 29% in the last congressional race and 45% last night, so you are excluding a 15 pt increase for the (D)s. 2016 diff was 31%, last night it was less than 7%. still a 20 pt swing


There's so much wrong with your comparison.

First, the national Dems POURED money into the 2017 race. Compare the spending to the others. I suspect there would be a HUGE divergence.

Second, note that the GOP candidates were different. Pompeo was VERY popular and could have held that seat forever if he wanted, getting at least 60% each time. Estes was NOT that candidate.

AND...

a special election with depressed turnout.

But, whatever makes you feel better.
Posted by Toddy
Atlanta
Member since Jul 2010
27250 posts
Posted on 4/12/17 at 11:16 am to
quote:

First, the national Dems POURED money into the 2017 race. Compare the spending to the others. I suspect there would be a HUGE divergence.


Actually you are flat out wrong. The Dems have poured money into the GA race; they did not this one. They got a $150k donation from Daily Kos and that was about it. The GOP HOWEVER, poured thousands into this race the last week, sent Ted Cruz to campaign, had Donald Trump do a robo call. Spin it however you want, but winning this seat by less than 7% is pathetic and is could very well forebode what's going to happen in the future.
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