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re: Clayton Kershaw 4-6 with a 4.39 ERA In The Playoffs For His Career

Posted on 10/22/16 at 10:44 pm to
Posted by Zappas Stache
Utility Muffin Research Kitchen
Member since Apr 2009
38864 posts
Posted on 10/22/16 at 10:44 pm to
quote:


84 innings is a small sample size. His postseason peripherals are pretty damn strong. This narrative is stupid.


If he won more the sample size would be bigger.....but playoff sample size is always gonna be small.
Posted by Vicks Kennel Club
29-24 #BlewDat
Member since Dec 2010
31085 posts
Posted on 10/22/16 at 11:30 pm to
The numbers will get slightly worse after tonight, but coming into Game 6, here are some of more impressive playoff numbers for Kershaw.

2.92 FIP
3.09 xFIP
2.68 SIERA
10.93 K/9
29.5% K%
21.7 K-BB%


Italicized stats are better than Kershaw's regular season numbers.

A partial look at why Kershaw "struggles" in the playoffs:

61.8% LOB% (league average is over 70%)
.293 BABIP (regular season is .271)
.86 HR/9 (regular season is .54 HR/9)

Essentially, he is a very similar pitcher with marginally worse inputs and terrible unlucky results. His walk and home run rates are a little worse, but his underlying numbers show why Kershaw is a killer any time of the year.
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