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re: College Football Week 1/Futures Bet Thread

Posted on 8/13/16 at 7:48 pm to
Posted by LSUAlum2001
Stavro Mueller Beta
Member since Aug 2003
47368 posts
Posted on 8/13/16 at 7:48 pm to
quote:

All my shite is on my work computer so I will have to go off of memory.


I have excel spreadsheets with calcs on every game.

I'm going back to 2014 and re-running some numbers right now so it may adjust these W1 plays.
Posted by goldennugget
Hating Masks
Member since Jul 2013
24526 posts
Posted on 8/13/16 at 8:06 pm to
quote:

I have excel spreadsheets with calcs on every game.


At first I had wildly complex Excel sheets and macros, but realized that I am one person, and no way will I come up with something that is better than what oddsmakers can put out. The amount of advantage I gain using a complex excel macro will not be much more advantageous than keeping it simple. Law of diminishing returns

So I just decided to keep it simple, only have a few variables in there.
Posted by Jyrdis
TD Premium Member Level III
Member since Aug 2015
12935 posts
Posted on 8/20/16 at 7:06 pm to
quote:

I have excel spreadsheets with calcs on every game.



I tried this last year. Don't remember how well I did, but I was pretty close with Michigan. Way too exhausting to keep up with all the information on a week to week basis and not be paid for it.
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