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re: Predict the 16 baseball regional host sites-updated predictions? Cajuns chances?

Posted on 5/29/16 at 5:31 pm to
Posted by devils1854
Franklin
Member since Aug 2014
6357 posts
Posted on 5/29/16 at 5:31 pm to
I honestly think Lafayette is easily locked in as a host, unless the committee goes in heavily on the ACC and SEC, which I dont think is likely.

Miami, Florida, Texas A&M, Louisville, Miss State, Texas Tech, LSU, and Clemson the seeds.

South Carolina, Ole Miss, Florida State, Virginia, and TCU almost assuredly locked in.

That leaves 3 hosts for Arizona, Lafayette, Southern Miss, Coastal Carolina, North Carolina State, and a Big West team.

-Arizona is probably safe as a host. 22 RPI, 10-6 vs top 50, 41 SOS, 46 OOC SOS, will probably end season on a 6 game winning streak.

-Lafayette is 15th in RPI, won conference, 11-9 vs top 50, 22 SOS, 1 OOC SOS, won 10 games in a row.

-Southern Miss is 19th in RPI, 12-11 vs top 50, 27 SOS, 7 OOC SOS, won conference, 6-4 last 10.

-NC State is 10th in RPI, 19-17 vs top 50, 2 SOS, 23 OOC SOS, 3-7 last 10.

-Coastal Carolina is 13th in RPI, 7-8 vs top 50, 32 SOS, 4 OOC SOS, won conference, 10 wins in a row.

-UCSB is 24th in RPI, 3-2 vs top 50, 61 SOS, 33 OOC SOS, 13-11 in 8th best conference, 5-5 last 10.


In a perfect world, NC State, Lafayette, and Southern Miss would get the last three spots. I give Southern Miss the last spot over Coastal because of winning a better conference, and having a better record against the top 50.

We arent in a perfect world though. There will be a western host, so Arizona will take a spot, and as we've seen in the past, the committee will reward a smaller school for a great year. That, and already having 5 ACC hosts, gives both Lafayette and Southern Miss the nod over North Carolina State.

Posted by tigersint
Lafayette
Member since Nov 2012
3549 posts
Posted on 5/29/16 at 5:42 pm to
Last 3 host i can see.


Arizona
Lafayette
Costal Carolina
Posted by hendersonshands
Univ. of Louisiana Ragin Cajuns
Member since Oct 2007
160111 posts
Posted on 5/29/16 at 5:52 pm to
quote:

That, and already having 5 ACC hosts, gives both Lafayette and Southern Miss the nod over North Carolina State.


Yeah, North Carolina State worries me. I think Arizona is almost assuredly a lock due to the rest of the West being a dumpster fire and the committee wanting to spread the love.

Our record versus the RPI top-25 is our biggest negative. We have a good record vs RPI top 50 and 100, great SOS and nonconference SOS, solid RPI and 10 wins in a row are all big check marks on the committee's list (usually)
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