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re: Season Record Prediction Using Mathematical Analysis of Point Spreads 2015
Posted on 8/21/15 at 2:39 pm to Guava Jelly
Posted on 8/21/15 at 2:39 pm to Guava Jelly
quote:
Yes it is. The odds of LSUs success vs McNeese have no bearing on the odds of success vs Bama. That's why his prediction doesn't make sense.
While they're independent events they aren't completely random
If we wen't 0-8 going into the Bama game and Bama was 8-0 the information from the previous 8 games for both teams will give you an indication of how that game might turn out. It's an independent event but it's not based on probabilistic expectation.
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