re: Season Record Prediction Using Mathematical Analysis of Point Spreads 2015

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(1) To be 90% likely to win every game would require being a favorite in every game by 16.5 points.

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based on what equation?

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That 10% chance of losing cannot be ignored. It literally means that a team is likely to lose 1 out of every 10 games. Thus a team who is favored 90/10 in each game is likely to lose a game if they play 10 games.

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provided the teams are the same, the date is the same, and all other factors are identical for each of the ten games

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. Me too. However, the odds say differently.

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WRONG, again.