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re: OFFICIAL Week 1 College Football Bet Thread

Posted on 9/1/15 at 4:13 pm to
Posted by LSUAlum2001
Stavro Mueller Beta
Member since Aug 2003
47155 posts
Posted on 9/1/15 at 4:13 pm to
Here is my take on the Michigan State/WMU matchup.

Michigan State returns 7 on offense and 7 on defense.

Western Michigan returns 9 on offense and 7 on defense.

Both return their QB: Connor Cook and Zach Terrell.

WMU returns a great RB in Franklin, but Michigan State's run defense allowed 78 ypg vs non-conference foes at 2.5 ypc. 173 of those yards was against Oregon. The other 3 non-conference games ran for 140 combined; a 1.97 ypc clip. I expect a simar run-stopping MSU defense this year.

They did give up 210 ypg passing to non-conference foes last season, and one of those was 318 vs Oregon. The other 3 only averaged 175 passing.

I don't expect WMU to eclipse 325 total yards on offense, but I do expect MSU to score in the 40s here.

WMU will not score enough to keep it close. I expect something like 45-17.

The only common opponent from last year was Purdue, who beat WMU 23-14 to open the season. Michigan St defeated Purdue 45-31 mid-season.

This post was edited on 9/1/15 at 4:18 pm
Posted by maclauer
Member since Nov 2011
4765 posts
Posted on 9/1/15 at 5:37 pm to
Whole new season with a different rhythm. Turnovers, red zone efficiency, hype, expectations, experience, luck, etc. are all likely to be very different even if the QB remained constant or a bunch of starters returned. Just my 2 cents when seeing the transitive property from prior season results used throughout this thread.
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