re: OFFICIAL Week 1 College Football Bet Thread

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so you dont like tcu at 14? or wont like them if the number grows?

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-14 is probably the best # you are going to get if you like TCU. Definitely wouldn't touch anything higher.

I think a huge factor that is often overlooked in Week 1 is that last year's team does not directly carryover to this year's version. End-of-season 2014 TCU was clearly great (only Ohio State would've beat them, IMO), but we don't know we'll see that same level of play in this 1st game of 2015, if it all.

I won't fault anyone for backing TCU - the talent gap is significant on paper. Personally, laying 2+ TDs on the road in a hyped environment for 1st game of the season seems like a bad idea, but to each his own. It is for certain that the public will be excited to spend their summer-hibernating gambling funds hard on a sexy team like TCU the first day of the season, so you know pros will likely be fading you.

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thursday night home dog - dont bring this up

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I hear ya - it has become somewhat silly to bring it up, but I'm pretty sure the stats back up the ATS win rates for these games.