re: Marilyn vos Savant and the history of the Montel Hall question

Bbap, I assume you aren't trolling, so I'll continue.

Regardless of the number of doors, as long as Month knows which door holds the car, you should switch. If you don't switch, you're basically saying that it doesn't matter that Month has opened other doors. You're saying that this new knowledge is irrelevant. However, that is obviously not true and is the flaw in your logic.

Most people think of the events in reverse. They look at it as either one door or the other, thus a 50% chance, but that ignores the things we've learned while getting to the two doors.

ETA: I see that you've seen the light.