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Three Year Trends: 2009, '10, '11 v. 2014, '15, '16

Posted on 12/25/14 at 12:21 pm
Posted by chilge1
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2009
12139 posts
Posted on 12/25/14 at 12:21 pm
IMO, there are many similar circumstances surrounding the 2009 and 2014 teams. True sophomore QB, inexperienced but talented team. Very likely to end both seasons 9-4.

In 2010, LSU would finish the season 11-2. Prior to the addition of either Cameron or Krags to the staff, Jennings posted the following stat line in 2010:

56.5% completions 1411 yards 6.8 ypa 7TDs 10INTs 114.7 QBR

Compared to the 2014 stat line for Jennings

48.8% completions 1460 yards 6.9 ypa 10TDs 7 INTs 115.3 QBR


This leads me to believe that the floor for this team is 11-2. However, with the benefit of Krags, (Jefferson never had Cameron to work with), Jennings improved a great deal in 2011 en route to 13-0 and a NC appearance. With another year (and offseason) of progression, and considering the talent around him, I see no reason why Jennings can't put up some decent numbers.

Position Comparisons 2010 to 2015
Corners: Peterson, Claiborne v. White, Robinson/Tolliver/Paris
LBs: Sheppard, Baker v. Alexander, Beckwith
DE: Adams, Edwards v. Hunter, Teuhema/Bowers
DT: Nevis v. Lacouture, Valentine, Godchaux

RB: Ridley, Ware v. Fournette, Williams, Guice, Brossette
WR: Tolliver, Randle, Shep v. Dural, Dupre, Diarse, Quinn


Gonna be a special year
Posted by UnAnon
Breaux Bridge
Member since Sep 2013
6607 posts
Posted on 12/25/14 at 12:32 pm to
11-2 next year and people will wants Miles fired. There's no pleasing this fanbase.
Posted by JR Hamilsbach
Member since Oct 2010
869 posts
Posted on 12/25/14 at 12:45 pm to
quote:

This leads me to believe that the floor for this team is 11-2.


That's a pretty optimistic floor considering.
Posted by geauxnavybeatbama
Member since Jul 2013
25134 posts
Posted on 12/25/14 at 12:46 pm to
People will be assholes and call you out for saying Jennings in 2010 and 2011
Posted by chilge1
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2009
12139 posts
Posted on 12/25/14 at 12:53 pm to
quote:

That's a pretty optimistic floor considering.


Considering what? We went 11-2 in 2010 with the same level of QB play we saw this year. If Jennings shows 0% improvement, we should be able to do it again.
Posted by JR Hamilsbach
Member since Oct 2010
869 posts
Posted on 12/25/14 at 1:00 pm to
quote:

Considering what? We went 11-2 in 2010 with the same level of QB play we saw this year. If Jennings shows 0% improvement, we should be able to do it again.



Considering how our offense looked this year and how other teams in the SEC have improved relative to us.
Posted by JR Hamilsbach
Member since Oct 2010
869 posts
Posted on 12/25/14 at 1:03 pm to
11 and 2 as a floor is also ridiculous because you're basically saying there is no way we won't be competing for a playoff appearance considering that an 11-2 SEC West team would likely be a shoe-in for one of those 4 spots or at least have a strong case for one.
Posted by chilge1
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2009
12139 posts
Posted on 12/25/14 at 1:05 pm to
quote:

Considering how our offense looked this year


How did the offense look in 2010?

quote:

how other teams in the SEC have improved relative to us.


Which teams?
Posted by JR Hamilsbach
Member since Oct 2010
869 posts
Posted on 12/25/14 at 1:07 pm to
quote:

Which teams?


In the SEC West, all of them.
Posted by chilge1
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2009
12139 posts
Posted on 12/25/14 at 1:07 pm to
quote:

JR Hamilsbach


In 2010, Auburn went undefeated. Also, a two-loss SEC team would not have made the playoff over a one-loss Baylor or TCU.
Posted by chilge1
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2009
12139 posts
Posted on 12/25/14 at 1:09 pm to
quote:

In the SEC West, all of them


You're not being genuine. MSST and Auburn are going to fall hard next year and Ole Miss and aTm couldn't beat us THIS year. Only losses I can see on the schedule are ARK and ALA, which plays nicely into an 11-2 season
Posted by tiguhbait1901
A-town, be ballin'
Member since Oct 2014
13 posts
Posted on 12/25/14 at 1:58 pm to
OM stout defense at home doesn't work in our advantage. Not saying it's not possible for a W but it'll be a low scorer and QB improvement is necessary to avoid 10-3
Posted by chilge1
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2009
12139 posts
Posted on 12/25/14 at 2:00 pm to
quote:

OM stout defense at home doesn't work in our advantage


Stout? 400 total yards...55 for 264 yards rushing
Posted by tiguhbait1901
A-town, be ballin'
Member since Oct 2014
13 posts
Posted on 12/25/14 at 2:04 pm to
In our house though. It'll be tougher I think in their house without the Oline we had this year. I hope I'm wrong though
Posted by chilge1
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2009
12139 posts
Posted on 12/25/14 at 2:08 pm to
quote:

It'll be tougher I think in their house without the Oline we had this year.


We could very well be returning:

Vadal
Hawkins
Pocic
Washington
Clapp
Brim field
Malone

OL shouldn't be a problem. On the other side, Ole Miss has no QB
Posted by NotRight37
Nashville, TN
Member since Jul 2014
5843 posts
Posted on 12/25/14 at 3:53 pm to
I like your optimism and it is Christmas, but I wouldn't be comfortable putting any team's floor at 11-2.
Posted by 901Tiger
Member since Dec 2014
375 posts
Posted on 12/25/14 at 4:01 pm to
quote:

We could very well be returning:

Vadal
Hawkins
Pocic
Washington
Clapp
Brim field
Malone

OL shouldn't be a problem. On the other side, Ole Miss has no QB


Being in the second year with Grimes as O-Line coach could balance out the loss of talent since the players are more familiar with the scheme/technique Grimes wants.
Posted by sabanisarustedspoke
Member since Jan 2007
5683 posts
Posted on 12/25/14 at 7:29 pm to
quote:

11-2 next year and people will wants Miles fired. There's no pleasing this fanbase.


Absolutely right. If Miles coached at Bama, FL, or even Michigan, their fanbases would be building a statue of him...
Posted by Ignignot
Member since Mar 2009
18823 posts
Posted on 12/25/14 at 10:12 pm to
Next year I tell ya......next year.....
Posted by CajunSoldier225
Member since Aug 2011
8990 posts
Posted on 12/25/14 at 10:14 pm to
Just want them to beat Bama. Please beat Bama...

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