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re: J.P. Morgan suggests for me...

Posted on 11/17/14 at 6:42 am to
Posted by Ole War Skule
North Shore
Member since Sep 2003
3409 posts
Posted on 11/17/14 at 6:42 am to
quote:

31 yrs left to retire and they saying 15% fixed income???? frick that. At the most you should have maybe 3% fixed income right now , at the most.



agree. makes ZERO sense to have 15% in bonds, especially at current rates.

their proposal is a low risk, low return portfolio that will under-perform the market 90% of the time. at 31, I would be 100% in stocks.

while it is conventional wisdom to always have some bonds in one's portfolio, historical performance does not support that view.

"Stocks had risen more than bonds over every 30-year period from 1861, according to Jeremy Siegel, a finance professor at the University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton School in Philadelphia, until the period ending in Sept 30" written in 2011.

old article (2011), but relevant historical data

since the market has rallied since 2011, I'd think that recent 30 yr period is now back to stocks outperforming.
This post was edited on 11/17/14 at 6:57 am
Posted by Janky
Team Primo
Member since Jun 2011
35957 posts
Posted on 11/17/14 at 7:12 am to
I would have a small allocation to fixed income for volatility suppression.
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