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re: LSU Chances at the CFB Playoffs.... (A Deep Look at the Rest of 2014)
Posted on 10/29/14 at 10:24 am to RidiculousHype
Posted on 10/29/14 at 10:24 am to RidiculousHype
quote:
I'm not sure LSU even needs to win the West to make the top 4.
Absolutely we do.
quote:
Look at the games remaining among teams currently ranked higher than LSU:
You listed 14 games. We are #19. That means that if every single one of the games you listed caused someone who is currently ahead of us to fall behind us (which is extremely unlikely, especially because there are several teams that play in more than one of the games you listed, so not every game will even necessarily produce a different and unique loser for us to leap over), that still would not get us into the top 4.
No 2-loss team that doesn't win its conference championship is getting into the playoff. Not even from the SEC West.
This post was edited on 10/29/14 at 10:28 am
Posted on 10/29/14 at 12:38 pm to Nuts4LSU
quote:
You listed 14 games. We are #19. That means that if every single one of the games you listed caused someone who is currently ahead of us to fall behind us (which is extremely unlikely, especially because there are several teams that play in more than one of the games you listed, so not every game will even necessarily produce a different and unique loser for us to leap over), that still would not get us into the top 4.
No 2-loss team that doesn't win its conference championship is getting into the playoff. Not even from the SEC West.
You may very well be right; it's just fun to think about different scenarios.
I guess the point I had was, there are only 15 teams between LSU and the #4 spot. With all the football left and cannibalization that will occur, there could be a scenario where a 2-loss SEC team who didn't win its division could get in. Not saying it's likely, but what if:
-MSt wins out (13-0); they're in
-FSU wins out (13-0); they're in
-Ducks win out (12-1); they're in
-The Big 12 continues to beat itself up, leaving everyone with 2+ losses.
-ND loses to ASU or Louisville (likely)
-Nebraska loses to Wisky but beats the MSU/OSU winner in the B10CG
-there is a pack of 2-loss SEC teams, and LSU is considered the hottest (the "they are a different team than they were vs MSt and @ Aub" narrative is entirely possible)
Then who gets in as the #4 seed?
This post was edited on 10/29/14 at 12:39 pm
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