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re: Facts from Peer Reviewed Medical articles about Ebola

Posted on 10/16/14 at 11:18 pm to
Posted by TutHillTiger
Mississippi Alabama
Member since Sep 2010
43700 posts
Posted on 10/16/14 at 11:18 pm to
In English please. (LOL) I get what u r saying but air travel and cities with millions and 100k at a football game dont occur too often in the the affected areas of Africa either.

Posted by redstick13
Lower Saxony
Member since Feb 2007
38730 posts
Posted on 10/16/14 at 11:32 pm to
There was a case in Lagos Nigeria. City population is 23 million.
Posted by lsu480
Downtown Scottsdale
Member since Oct 2007
92877 posts
Posted on 10/16/14 at 11:36 pm to
Alright let me break it down. R0 is the reproduction number, essentially it is a mathematical term that defines exactly how contagious a disease is, its the number of people we can expect to catch the disease from an infected person. Worldwide AIDS is around a 4 and measles are around an 18 to give you an idea of other viruses. Anyways, based on the #s in the NEJM Ebola is at 1.5-2 in Africa, meaning each person can be expected to give it to 1.5-2 people.

A lot of factors go into how contagious a disease is like how long you are sick, how long you are infectious etc. The great thing about Ebola is it can only be transferred by bodily fluid, there are ZERO facts saying otherwise so please don't start!

Because Ebola is not contagious until people show symptoms, and it takes 2 weeks for people to show symptoms defeating it is very simple. In order to defeat it all we have to do is when we find someone who is infected we have TWO WEEKS to find anyone they exchanged bodily fluids with and get them into isolation before they can show symptoms and pass it on to others. Once we do that the R0 truly is ZERO and the disease is gone. In the US if you exchanged body fluids with someone that has Ebola you ARE going to get help, and it will be before you are contagious and can pass it on, in Africa they do not get help.

I hope that made sense, its a VERY easy disease for us to defeat. We may have a case here, 2 there, 1 here for the next few months but thats really all that will happen. We are just very lucky Ebola is designed the way it is. If it was airborne sure it would be fricked but its not and the chances of it mutating are like less than 1 in a million.
This post was edited on 10/16/14 at 11:41 pm
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