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re: Official Week 5 NFL Bet Thread
Posted on 10/4/14 at 12:32 am to 4LSU2
Posted on 10/4/14 at 12:32 am to 4LSU2
quote:
You don't pull the trigger on this one, if you enjoy winning.
eh, I see what you mean. Have to turn in the card by 12pm tomorrow.
the 9ers are just 1-5 ATS in their 6 games at home.
something has got to give.
the 9ers are also the most penalized team in the league. They also aren't much of a 2nd half team offensively (scoring wise).
i might not play this week. I don't really feel like piggybacking off of the blazing 5 anymore this week. So by not doing the SF/KC pick, I'm not real sure which other line to go?
will take a look at the O/U's
Posted on 10/4/14 at 1:30 am to LooseCannon22282
quote:
will take a look at the O/U's
Here's a weekly recap of totals to consider when looking at O/U's:
Week 1: 5-16 games went over, or 38%.
Week 2: 7-16 games went over, or 44%.
Week 3: 9-16 games went over, or 56%.
Week 4: 10-13 games went over, or 77%.
Cumulative of all NFL games to date, 31-61 games have gone over, or 51%. I'm keeping a running total of this each week for my use only. I absolutely refuse to bet an under in any capacity. If I don't like the point total, I won't bet it. I'm not saying that is the way to go, but will not watch a game with money on it and root for turnovers, long excruciating drives, and punts. Just by seeing the upward trend of the last two weeks on totals, 66% of the games to over their point totals. This means it took teams the first two weeks to get their identity and for Vegas to also pinpoint who they are.
Just a little food for thought going forward.
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