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re: Field Research Regarding Keystone XL Pipeline *UPDATE in OP*

Posted on 9/30/14 at 8:48 am to
Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
119329 posts
Posted on 9/30/14 at 8:48 am to
quote:

So how bad is Canada getting the shaft due to this technicality?


Specifically it's TransCanada the company.

quote:

Do they really care if the Keystone XL Pipeline gets constructed vs other alternatives for them to export the oil?


They (TransCanada) does care because they can charge a transportation fee on their pipeline. Tar sand producers also care because the proposed Keystone pipeline is a cheaper transportation alternative for getting the oil to market. Regardless of whether Keystone gets State Department approval to cross the Canadian/US border the oil will find a market, it just depends at what cost. It's my understanding that the initial break even price per barrel to produce the tar sands was $75/barrel. It's probably a little lower now and could be a little lower with cheaper transportation cost via the pipeline. If the price per barrel dips below ~$70 tar sand production will likely halt or slow down a lot.

The big winner in the Keystone controversy is Obama and the politicians on both sides. Obama is getting huge donations from environmental nuts to continue to hold up the Keystone permit and the GOP continues to get political donations from the other side. What a game.
Posted by cwill
Member since Jan 2005
54753 posts
Posted on 9/30/14 at 9:23 am to
I still think it gets approved after the mid-terms.
Posted by LSUsuperfresh
Member since Oct 2010
8338 posts
Posted on 9/30/14 at 9:34 am to
quote:

Specifically it's TransCanada the company.


I was thinking more along the lines of taxes and the boost to the economy from Canada's standpoint.

Is this volume of oil being shipped from Canada being limited at all for the lack of the Keystone Pipeline? Or would the bph through the pipeline be roughly what they're shipping via rail right now with just cheaper transportation costs?
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