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re: The Les Miles Offense - Some stats from the last two years

Posted on 9/25/14 at 1:19 pm to
Posted by CptBengal
BR Baby
Member since Dec 2007
71661 posts
Posted on 9/25/14 at 1:19 pm to
I had a thread about this the other night. Miles is predictable. I had basic data and the trend was obvious. The outcome was obvious too....

each year we are more likely to run than pas on first and second down. And each year our rush yds to yds per attempt have been decreasing.

These guys have access to play by play data that can easily be analyzed using a logistic regression to determine the probability of a play being run or pass based on a whole suite of data.
Posted by LSU GrandDad
houston, texas
Member since Jun 2009
21564 posts
Posted on 9/25/14 at 1:43 pm to
quote:

I had basic data and the trend was obvious. The outcome was obvious too


no. the outcome was pretty damn good last year. and that's not an opinion, it's a FACT. there is no mathematical equations that predetermines success or failure of a play. another FACT. running the ball on first down, let's say 75% of the time, is not predicted to be a failure. the success of that play is much more dependent on other things, like frickING BLOCKING.

the number of TE in the game, the number of RB's in the backfield, etc, etc is pretty much bull shite and doesn't matter one wup.
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