re: What is your outlook on the economy?

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One thing I have heard repeatedly is the those in the financial industry almost never foresee the great crash coming. It is always unforeseen.

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Not necessarily true. Several called '08, Peter Schiff and others became very rich from the crisis. The majority were pretty caught off-guard with the severity.

The flip side is that there are also some that have predicted 50 of the last 4 recessions. Many have been calling for a double dip over the past 5 years.

I wouldn't say those in finance are less expecting of a financial collapse, I think some people are right and some are wrong, regardless of theirr profession.