re: Statistics: Why LSU will beat Wisconsin: A response to Wisc Trolls

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Wisconsin is a vastly superior team to Iowa. What we take away from that game is that all these recruiting rankings that people are throwing out don't mean much. A much less talented team played you close, I see no reason why a better team (UW) couldn't as well, especially when you have to replace multiple players that rank as some of the best to ever play at LSU.

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What you are describing is football. Alabama constantly has the #1 ranked recruiting class yet they lose games. Teams lose to "inferior" talent all the time.

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LSU is the clear favorite, but it is by a much smaller margin than many here suspect. If UW plays well we have every chance of pulling out the W.

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I completely agree.
the reason why most assume it's a win is because there is only two situations in which Wisky would win.

We'll say there are 5 levels of performance
Terrible
Bad
Average
Good
Great

IF Wisky beats LSU by 3 levels it could win. So if LSU plays Terrible and Wisky plays good.. or if LSU plays Bad and Wisky plays Great.

To put it another way.
WIS LSU
Great Great = LSU win
Great Good = LSU win
Great Average = LSU win
Good Great = LSU win
Good Good = LSU win
Good Average = LSU win
Good Bad = LSU win
Anything below good for wisky = loss.

So yes. Just like any game. The favorite could lose. But they are the favorite for a reason.
My prediction. LSU, GOOD. Wisky, GOOD. 7+ victory for LSU.
And hopefully Wisky goes undefeated from there.