re: ISIS has Baghdad surrounded on 3 sides, controls water supplies

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I agree, but long term terrorist campaigns like what we saw with Al Zarkawi would be too much for them to bare IMO. All it would do is give time for ISIS to recruit new members and continue their pot shot slaughter videos. That is one thing I've liked about El-Sisi of Egypt - he thwarted the MB with the quickness.

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No, given the chance, the Shi'a militias will be every bit as brutal and probably worse. In fact, they're probably already doing a lot of the same crap - they just aren't dumb enough to broadcast it to the world. They're also much bigger, just as well armed, and just as motivated. Trying to imagine ISIS going block to block through Sadr City or Khadimiyah gives me a tingly feeling...I wonder how they like the taste of copper-tipped EFP's.