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re: LSU vs Baylor at a neutral site, what would Vegas have line at?
Posted on 11/17/13 at 8:57 pm to Brazos
Posted on 11/17/13 at 8:57 pm to Brazos
Currently, Statfox power ratings would have Baylor -12, Sagarin has it Baylor -11, Linemakers has it 3..I don't know what LVSC, Goldsheet, Sports Reporter, Don Best, etc..sets would have it on paper..
But, there is no way that Henry/Elihu,etc../Pinny, Lee Amaitis/Cantor, Sean Van Patten/LVSC, Spiros/Greek, Skip/Grande, CRIS,etc..would open Baylor as double digit chalk vs LSU..
Given LSU were preseason 5 pt dog at UGA and lost by 3 as 3 pt actual dog, and 9 pt preseason dog at Bama losing by 21 as 12.5/13 pt actual dog..
LSU would be opened a single digit dog, and then let the wiseguys steer it out the opening gates..
Baylor scoring 61 PF - 17 PA vs LSU 37 PF - 23 PA averages, suggest probably at least a 3 or 4 to 5.5 window..very doubtful a full TD fav..
Baylor's weak schedule strength, close final margin vs KSU, 42 allowed to WVU & 34 pt allowance to TT(few teams on schedule with any punch), suggests SEC pedigree and LSU consistent elite status(and public perception), coupled to better recruiting/roster talent, would keep this line very reasonable(short) despite some current power rating sets suggesting otherwise.
But, there is no way that Henry/Elihu,etc../Pinny, Lee Amaitis/Cantor, Sean Van Patten/LVSC, Spiros/Greek, Skip/Grande, CRIS,etc..would open Baylor as double digit chalk vs LSU..
Given LSU were preseason 5 pt dog at UGA and lost by 3 as 3 pt actual dog, and 9 pt preseason dog at Bama losing by 21 as 12.5/13 pt actual dog..
LSU would be opened a single digit dog, and then let the wiseguys steer it out the opening gates..
Baylor scoring 61 PF - 17 PA vs LSU 37 PF - 23 PA averages, suggest probably at least a 3 or 4 to 5.5 window..very doubtful a full TD fav..
Baylor's weak schedule strength, close final margin vs KSU, 42 allowed to WVU & 34 pt allowance to TT(few teams on schedule with any punch), suggests SEC pedigree and LSU consistent elite status(and public perception), coupled to better recruiting/roster talent, would keep this line very reasonable(short) despite some current power rating sets suggesting otherwise.
This post was edited on 11/17/13 at 9:41 pm
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