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re: Dow normally dips during the summer?
Posted on 4/3/13 at 10:56 pm to Vols&Shaft83
Posted on 4/3/13 at 10:56 pm to Vols&Shaft83
quote:
Vols&Shaft83
You quote practical books. Practical Vols is practical.
Posted on 4/3/13 at 11:02 pm to LSUcam
The idea of seasonal trends is very similar to the idea of other market anomalies (i.e. January Effect).
There is a fundamental flaw with consistently repetitive patters and this is why market timing is a near impossibility:
If there is any real correlation to these so-called patterns then by the time the market has "realized" these effects, then it becomes a part of the efficiency and rational investors eventually dilute any correlation.
Although your chart does supports January returns pretty well. I would like to see a 10/20/30 year monthly returns.
There is a fundamental flaw with consistently repetitive patters and this is why market timing is a near impossibility:
If there is any real correlation to these so-called patterns then by the time the market has "realized" these effects, then it becomes a part of the efficiency and rational investors eventually dilute any correlation.
quote:
Janky
Although your chart does supports January returns pretty well. I would like to see a 10/20/30 year monthly returns.
This post was edited on 4/3/13 at 11:10 pm
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