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Vlad's NIT Analysis for LSU
Posted on 3/15/13 at 5:34 pm
Posted on 3/15/13 at 5:34 pm
Update...minus RPI numbers
Here's what we're looking at taking Lunardi's predictions, random NIT blogs and RPI:
The NIT has 32 teams.
10 are officially in:
Charleston Southern
Mercer
Niagara
Norfolk St
Northeastern
Robert Morris
Stony Brook
Louisiana Tech
Stephen F Austin
Long Beach St
Another 10 seem to be universally accepted as "in". I figure it's a zero sum game with this group--if St. Mary's gets into the NCAA instead of Virginia or Bama, it's all the same to us.
Maryland
Providence
Iowa
Baylor
Arizona St
Boise St
LaSalle
MTSU
St. Mary's
Southern Miss
So, we're looking at 12 spots left.
LSU's RPI is 82 ( on Friday). There are 17 teams with a higher RPI:
Of those 16 there are 8 that could reasonably go ahead of LSU:
58 Massachusetts
64 BYU
65 Charlotte
70 St. Joseph's
73 Wyoming
76 Stanford
77 Air Force
79 Florida St.
The other are:
67 Denver
69 Detroit
71 Eastern Kentucky
74 Indiana St.
75 Ohio
77 North Dakota St.
81 Northern Iowa
Also, behind LSU we have:
84 Xavier
86 Providence
86 Arizona St.
88 Richmond
89 UTEP
If you count 8+10+10 you have 4 spots left. We should get in based on this info.
Bottom line:
We have a very good shot to get in, but it will be really close if RPI is a significant indicator.
We need to go for:
Montana-check
Long Beach St-failed us
Southern- thanks neighbor
Akron-check
Stephen F Austin-failed us
New Mexico State-check
We should root against:
UMass- lost
Florida State- lost
Here's what we're looking at taking Lunardi's predictions, random NIT blogs and RPI:
The NIT has 32 teams.
10 are officially in:
Charleston Southern
Mercer
Niagara
Norfolk St
Northeastern
Robert Morris
Stony Brook
Louisiana Tech
Stephen F Austin
Long Beach St
Another 10 seem to be universally accepted as "in". I figure it's a zero sum game with this group--if St. Mary's gets into the NCAA instead of Virginia or Bama, it's all the same to us.
Maryland
Providence
Iowa
Baylor
Arizona St
Boise St
LaSalle
MTSU
St. Mary's
Southern Miss
So, we're looking at 12 spots left.
LSU's RPI is 82 ( on Friday). There are 17 teams with a higher RPI:
Of those 16 there are 8 that could reasonably go ahead of LSU:
58 Massachusetts
64 BYU
65 Charlotte
70 St. Joseph's
73 Wyoming
76 Stanford
77 Air Force
79 Florida St.
The other are:
67 Denver
69 Detroit
71 Eastern Kentucky
74 Indiana St.
75 Ohio
77 North Dakota St.
81 Northern Iowa
Also, behind LSU we have:
84 Xavier
86 Providence
86 Arizona St.
88 Richmond
89 UTEP
If you count 8+10+10 you have 4 spots left. We should get in based on this info.
Bottom line:
We have a very good shot to get in, but it will be really close if RPI is a significant indicator.
We need to go for:
Montana-check
Long Beach St-failed us
Southern- thanks neighbor
Akron-check
Stephen F Austin-failed us
New Mexico State-check
We should root against:
UMass- lost
Florida State- lost
This post was edited on 3/17/13 at 12:07 pm
Posted on 3/15/13 at 5:36 pm to Vlad The Inhaler
quote:
46 Connecticut
Ineligible for postseason
Posted on 3/15/13 at 5:57 pm to Vlad The Inhaler
Thanks! Reminds me of the days Football was ecstatic about the Indy Bowl. At this point, I would Love an NIT invite!
Posted on 3/15/13 at 7:28 pm to Vlad The Inhaler
Kentucky currently playing themselves into the NIT. Down double digits to Vandy at the half.
Posted on 3/15/13 at 8:17 pm to Vlad The Inhaler
Excellent analysis and thanks and now that I live in Montana will definitely be rooting for the Montana Grizzlies to take care of business tonight in Missoula against Northern Colorado and to beat the other semi winner either North Dakota or Weber State and right now Weber with a record of 25-5 is in a fight for its tourny life. That's the excitement of tournament time BABY.
Posted on 3/15/13 at 10:26 pm to Vlad The Inhaler
quote:
We have a very shot to get in
Uh
Posted on 3/16/13 at 6:40 am to Vlad The Inhaler
You mean LSU has to worry about getting into the NIT?
Geez! that's a reality check
Geez! that's a reality check
Posted on 3/17/13 at 11:06 am to Vlad The Inhaler
Great stuff! I wonder what an NIT championship would do for our recruiting?
Posted on 3/17/13 at 11:42 am to Vlad The Inhaler
Great Analysis - Thanks man
Posted on 3/17/13 at 8:10 pm to Vlad The Inhaler
Washington and Detroit are really bad signs. We'll see I guess
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