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re: LSU 97, Alabama 94 - Recap

Posted on 2/25/13 at 10:27 am to
Posted by Captain Ron
Location: Ted's
Member since Dec 2012
4340 posts
Posted on 2/25/13 at 10:27 am to
SoS, I went over to the ColleyMatrix site and entered in hypothetical wins vs Arkansas, Missouri, Texas A&M and Ole Miss.

We moved up from 84 to 52 in that poll.

How much of a jump would we expect to make in the RPI if we win out; beating A&M and Missouri on the road?

60s?

Lunardi, btw, had Arkansas as a last 8 out. If we finished 11-3 our last 14, I'd think we would start to get some consideration for a NCAAT bid. If we get a 6th seed or better (SECT) and go 2-1 there to finish 22-10, I think we could sneak in as a 13 seed.

We really need to finish in the Top 60 in RPI though; a 7-1 from here on out might do it.

Thoughts?


This post was edited on 2/25/13 at 10:32 am
Posted by SouthOfSouth
Baton Rouge
Member since Jun 2008
43486 posts
Posted on 2/25/13 at 10:54 am to
I couldn't imagine a scenario where LSU would make it, but winning out and making it to the SEC tournament would be making a hard case for LSU. I think it would be possible. I've started seeing some national guys saying that LSU has been playing good ball. I expected our RPI to end up around 80 at the beginning of hte year, but winning out would probably bring our RPI up a pretty good bit. I know Arkansas has some good wins at home which really covers up their poor 1-6 record on road in SEC.

Mizzou on the road would be the game that starts to get LSU recognized. We'd probably want Ole Miss to keep winning if we were looking for NCAA tournament.

Its a really tough thing, because up to this point LSU doesn't deserve to be in the dance. Wins against Auburn and SC at home would have changed my mindset, but at this point I don't think they will let us in, even if we finished super hot.

I don't think we win out (minus SEC Championship), but if we did I'd say about 25% chance. This site says similar:

LINK

It has LSU's chances at 23% if they win out minus SEC Champ. SEC wins just don't hold very much weight because everyone thinks the league sucks (good reason to think so).
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